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World Record Predictions for the year 2030

Loser

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10 years and one day ago, the thread World Record predictions in the year 2020? was posted, which has since become one of the most viewed threads on Speedsolving, and produced some hilariously slow predictions.

So let's make some more! Here's a copy paste for singles/averages in all events, and a few random things I added. Feel free to make other predictions, or skip those that you don't care about. For reference, there is currently 137-138k people that have competed.

Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3:
2x2:
4x4:
5x5:
6x6:
7x7:
Blind:
FMC:
OH:
Feet:
Clock:
Mega:
Pyra:
Skewb:
Sq1:
4BLD:
5BLD:
MBLD:

New Events:
Removed Events:
Event Format Changes:
Competitors in the WCA:
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner:
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value):
 

Loser

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WCA
2016QUIN01
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.16/4.03
2x2: 0.31/0.94
4x4: 9.56/11.93
5x5: 20.31/24.56
6x6: 45.67/49.67
7x7: 1:12.23/1:17.84
Blind: 8.45/10.23
FMC: 15/19.33
OH: 4.56/7.67
Feet: 8.92/11.45
Clock: 1.89/3.11 (if not removed)
Mega: 14.56/19.45
Pyra: 0.67/1.23
Skewb: 0.77/1.22
Sq1: 2.34/4.44
4BLD: 25.67/29.55
5BLD: 1:01.23/1:09.45
MBLD: 99/102, 59:58

New Events: 2 of them, idk what
Removed Events: Clock
Event Format Changes: BLD is ao5
Competitors in the WCA: 1,234,567
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2024
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): $15,000
 

RedstoneTim

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Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.07/3.81
2x2: 0.29/0.78
4x4: 10.47/13.00
Blind: 8.19/11.45
FMC: 15/19.66
OH: 4.13/6.53
Mega: 17.89/21.07

New Events: Curvy Copter
Removed Events: Feet and Clock
Competitors in the WCA: 2 Million
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2017

I'll predict that at that time, I will probably have stopped cubing altogether and won't get to see if my predictions were correct because I won't be interested anymore. I also guess that the 3x3 single will probably be a mish-mash of methods like the current one, probably from some CFOP person that is not over 10 years old at the time I'm writing this. There will be a lot more cubers in the future as well and ZB and Roux will be the most used methods of world class cubers.
Those are my thoughts, I'm probably off by quite a bit, but we'll see when time comes.
 
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Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.84
2x2: .38
4x4: 14.90
5x5: 31.69
6x6: 56.77
7x7: 1:28.95
Blind:9.43
FMC: 15
OH: 4.23
Feet: n/a
Clock: n/a
Mega: 23.58
Pyra: .69
Skewb: .69
Sq1: 3.47
4BLD: 36.84
5BLD: 1:13.45
MBLD: 69/69 59:34

New Events: clock with feet
Removed Events: Feet, clock
Event Format Changes: smart cubes are allowed
Competitors in the WCA: 170,000
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: Somebody who does not even have a wca profile rn
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): 6900 usd
I am bad at predicting things
 
C

Cubinwitdapizza

Guest
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.15/4.37
2x2: 0.28/0.91
4x4: 10.7/14.83
5x5: 17.84/24.43
6x6: idk
7x7: idk
Blind: 10.7/13.6
FMC: 15/ 18
OH: 5.3/6
Feet: 12.47/19.4
Clock: 2.3/3
Mega: 22.4/25.98
Pyra: 0.5/1.01
Skewb: 0.6/1.8
Sq1: 3.1/5.3
4BLD: 43.5/50.4
5BLD: idk
MBLD: 74/80 58:57

New Events: curvy copter
Removed Events: feet, clock
 

PetrusQuber

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World record 3x3 average will be held by a Petrus user, and be sub 5.4
3x3 single will be the same
OH single will be the same
OH average will sub 9.2
FMC will be sub 18
I can’t say about much else, cos no experience, so
2x2 avg and single is sub 0.2
4x4 average will be a multiple of 4 when rounded to the nearest whole number
4x4 single will be a multiple of 4.7 when rounded to one decimal place
5x5
6x6
7x7
Blind
Feet
Clock
Mega
Pyra
Skewb
Sq1
4BLD
5BLD
All’s WR shall be amultiple of 3 when rounded to the nearest whole number :)
 

ThatLucas

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Jan 25, 2019
Messages
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Single:
3x3: 1.2
2x2: 0.2
4x4: 6.9
5x5: 11.4
6x6: 21.2
7x7: 45.8
Blind: 8.9
FMC: 10
OH: 4.5
Feet: 6.8
Clock: 0.9, assuming clock will still be an event
Mega: 10.9
Pyra: 0.2
Skewb: 0.5
Sq1: 1.9
4BLD: 20.1
5BLD: 40.2
MBLD: 150+ points

Average:
3x3: 2.1
2x2: 0.8
4x4: 10.4
5x5: 18.5
6x6: 26.6
7x7: 51.4
Blind: 14.7
FMC: 15
OH: 7.6
Feet: 9.8
Clock: 1.8
Mega: 16.4
Pyra: 0.9
Skewb: 1.2
Sq1: 2.4
4BLD: 20.5
5BLD: 49.6
MBLD: Hmmmm

I know this prediction may seem too absurd, but that old thread in 2009 had predictions that were laughable today, so this will be my prediction.
 
Last edited:

tx789

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This is hard. People in have always underestimated how fast people would get. I think records will start to plateau by 2030 and winning big comps will become more and more important to people. That is all I am willing to predict.


The event list might change a little if Lucas Garron's tiers and ephemeral events get through.
 
Last edited:

Skittleskp

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I was looking at this the other day... thought it would be fun to link here.
 

CyanSandwich

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Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.78/4.22
2x2: 0.29/0.89
4x4: 13.01/16.00
5x5: 26.12/29.90
6x6: 44.45/48.03
7x7: 1:20.99/1:26.54
Blind: 9.78/13.95
FMC: 14/19.33
OH: 4.32/6.91
Feet: 11.99/14.33 (but most likely removed)
Clock: 2.56/3.67 (a bit less likely removed)
Mega: 16.14/19.13
Pyra: 0.84/1.41
Skewb: 0.83/1.39
Sq1: 3.08/4.07
4BLD: 41.22/48.78
5BLD: 1:28.31/1:37.69
MBLD: 69 points (71/73 59:40)

New Events: don't know, but there'll be 2 of them
Removed Events: Feet, clock
Event Format Changes: none
Competitors in the WCA: 420666
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2025
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): $10,000
 

Dylan Swarts

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Most of these are pretty much very impossible, because many events have reached their limits or are very close to it.
I do say that multi-blind will still go a long way. I calculated very roughly that to do 60 cubes in an hour you would need to be able to do a cube in 1 minute or less on average. And since top 3blders do 3bld in 20 or less seconds, I believe that doing 40s per cube would enable you to do 90 cubes for multi. Maybe more. So I think something close to 90/90 multi in an hour
 

PetrusQuber

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I wonder if cubing will still be a thing in say, 50 years?
Well, I’ll keep it up... I can go on the thread for older cubers by then. :)
I wonder what cubes might have come out... A gts6m? A re-invention of the hualong? Valk 3 Power M Heavy, etc.


New prediction: I predict that person who was a sub 5.4 Petrus user and 3x3 avg WR holder will be yours truly.
 

BenChristman1

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SS Competition Results
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.85
2x2: 0.4
4x4: 13
5x5: 24
6x6: 45
7x7: 1:00
Blind: 12
FMC: 14
OH: 4.5
Feet: Will not be an event
Clock: Will not be an event
Mega: 23
Pyra: 0.8
Skewb: 0.8
Sq1: 4
4BLD: 1:15
5BLD: 2:30
MBLD: 67/70

New Events: None
Removed Events: Feet, Clock
Event Format Changes: IDK
Competitors in the WCA: IDK how many there are now
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2024
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): in U.S. dollars, $5,000
 

MEF227

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Location
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3x3: 2.87/4.78
2x2: 0.39/0.99
4x4: 13.45/17.67
5x5: 29.76/35.36
6x6: 59.84/1:07.72
7x7: 1:25.64/1:34.56
Blind: 11.56/15.67
FMC: 14/19
OH: 6.32/7.90
Feet: N/A
Clock: N/A
Mega: 23.56/26.32
Pyra: 0.69/1.15
Skewb: 0.75/1.58
Sq1: 3.67/5.34
4BLD: 53.95/1:00.76
5BLD: 2:15.78/3:04.53
MBLD: 73/75

New Events: Redi Cube
Removed Events: Feet and Clock
Event Format Changes: Further spectator distance
Competitors in the WCA: 189k
 
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