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World Record Predictions for the year 2030

Dr. Lube

Member
Joined
Aug 1, 2019
Messages
146
Location
Japan
This of course assumes that the WCA will be around in 10 years... Red Bull and Rubik's might take over the cubing scene if modular puzzle systems and Gan's connection to the Rubik's brand both continue to evolve. We might all be using the same puzzle for the Rubik's World Cup 2030, the only world speedcubing event authorised by 'Totally Perfect Global Super Leader' Kushner. Skewb, 7x7, Feet, OH and the like will be consigned to late night TV spectacle along with mouth solving and cube juggling and Felix will be on the run from the YLM mafia for non-payment of protection money. He alone can save us, but only if a robot double of Ernő Rubik appears from the future to stem the tide of sentient ShengShou Gem 2x2 puzzles used by the Austro-Chinese army to infiltrate the resistance. Use the lube, Felix! USE THE LUBE!

I only believe half of what I just wrote...
 

OreKehStrah

Member
Joined
May 24, 2019
Messages
125
Just off the top of my head, these are my predictions for singles January 1st, 2030 excluding decimal places beyond a certain point:
3x3: 3.2xy
2x2: 0.3xy
4x4: 13.xy
5x5: 29.xy
6x6: 51.xy
7x7: 1:39.xy
Blind: 10.xy
OH: 4.xy
Clock: 2.9xy
Mega: 19-21

I might try do some math to make some predictions later since I'm a math major lol
 

Aerma

Premium Member
Joined
Apr 1, 2017
Messages
1,221
Location
Galar Region
WCA
2015MANN01
YouTube
Aerma
Just off the top of my head, these are my predictions for singles January 1st, 2030 excluding decimal places beyond a certain point:
3x3: 3.2xy
2x2: 0.3xy
4x4: 13.xy
5x5: 29.xy
6x6: 51.xy
7x7: 1:39.xy
Blind: 10.xy
OH: 4.xy
Clock: 2.9xy
Mega: 19-21

I might try do some math to make some predictions later since I'm a math major lol
Tbh I think all of these are too slow. I bet your clock prediction, for example, will be beaten easily by 2025
 

OreKehStrah

Member
Joined
May 24, 2019
Messages
125
Tbh I think all of these are too slow. I bet your clock prediction, for example, will be beaten easily by 2025
I’m sure they are, these are just reasonable to attain times for a placeholder while I try to do math to make a prediction lol
 

OreKehStrah

Member
Joined
May 24, 2019
Messages
125
CFOP will go out of fashion
I disagree, at least to an extent. I think that what is currently CFOP will pick up more and more advanced techniques and borrow traits from other methods, that all build on the foundation of traditional CFOP. I don’t think it’ll ever go away completely since it’s still obviously a good method, and no other method has reached close to the same amount of users, although part of it is simply availability of resources. People still use ZZ and Petrus so people will probably use CFOP for the next 50 years at least. That’s just my take though. Who knows, maybe all the dominant solvers will fade out of the community over time and generation of Roux solvers will start the true Rouxvolution lol
 

asacuber

Member
Joined
Nov 4, 2015
Messages
1,399
Location
India
WCA
2015SANT44
YouTube
channel/UC5znrjIR5WXZMlAubzUAG-w
I disagree, at least to an extent. I think that what is currently CFOP will pick up more and more advanced techniques and borrow traits from other methods, that all build on the foundation of traditional CFOP. I don’t think it’ll ever go away completely since it’s still obviously a good method, and no other method has reached close to the same amount of users, although part of it is simply availability of resources. People still use ZZ and Petrus so people will probably use CFOP for the next 50 years at least. That’s just my take though. Who knows, maybe all the dominant solvers will fade out of the community over time and generation of Roux solvers will start the true Rouxvolution lol
I should've made myself clear; I wanted to say that CFOP as we know it now will take on some major mutation. I agree with you.
 

parkertrager

Member
Joined
May 28, 2019
Messages
5
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.65 single 3.8 average either with zz or roux CFOP will be proven slower
2x2: .31single .74 average and people will use a lot more methods and know a lot more algs than now
4x4: 9.87 single 14.7 average
5x5: 26.7 single 29 average with Yau or Hoya
6x6: 47 single 53 average hardware will be as good as our current 3x3 hardware once again Hoya or Yau
7x7: 1:07 single 1:14 average Yau or Hoya again
Blind: it will actually be very similar but some people will know a lot of 5 style and I think people will be able to look at cube and just memorize it so 11.7 single 12.89 average
FMC: Same single but tied and 20.33 mean
OH: 3.7 single 4.9 average with zz or roux
Feet: 8.7 single 11.6 average with zz
Clock: sub 1 and sub 2 new method will be dsicovetd and used and hardware will be insane
Mega: 17 single 24 average
pyra: .38 single sub 1 average people will know a lot more this event has had a lot of new methods made in the last year and that will continue people will know 1000s of algs and know insane fingertricks and hardware will be amazing
Skewb: 1.22 average .72 single more methods will be used and people will turn a lot better and average 11 moves
Sq1: 2.12 single 4.3 average hardware will be a lot better and a new method will be used yet to be discovered
4BLD: 39 single 52 average people will memo just by glancing at jt just like 3ld
5BLD: 1:04 single 1:15 average people will memo by glancing at it
MBLD: 120 cubes

New Events: none
Removed Events: none
Event Format Changes: no stafkmats smart cubes only
Competitors in the WCA: not much more than we have now
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2017
3x3 prize at WC2029 ($100,000) sponsored by some big company of celebrity
 

DarkSavage

Member
Joined
Oct 27, 2019
Messages
77
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:

Singles:

3x3: 3.00, Yusheng's record will last a while though
2x2: 0.33
4x4: 10.xx
5x5: 21.xx
6x6: 45.xx
7x7: 1:20.xx
Blind: 12.xx
FMC: 14
OH: 5.xx
Feet: It won't exist (obviously)
Clock: It won't exist
Mega: 16.xx
Pyra: 0.6x
Skewb: 0.75
Sq1: 3.47
4BLD: 38.xx
5BLD: 1:18.xx
MBLD: 110 points

Averages:

3x3: 4.20,
2x2: 0.9x
4x4: 15.xx
5x5: 25.xx
6x6: 49.xx
7x7: 1:30.xx
Blind: 14.5x
FMC: 19
OH: 7.xx
Feet: It won't exist
Clock: It won't exist
Mega: 18.xx
Pyra: 0.99
Skewb: 1.3x
Sq1: 5.xx
4BLD: 45.xx
5BLD: 1:45.xx

New Events: Mirror Cube,
Removed Events: Feet, Clock
Event Format Changes: 2x2 will be Ao12 or more


Don't laugh at me until 2030.
 

BenChristman1

Member
Joined
Oct 26, 2019
Messages
32
Location
Minnesota, United States
WCA
2019CHRI11
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:

Singles:

3x3: 3.00, Yusheng's record will last a while though
2x2: 0.33
4x4: 10.xx
5x5: 21.xx
6x6: 45.xx
7x7: 1:20.xx
Blind: 12.xx
FMC: 14
OH: 5.xx
Feet: It won't exist (obviously)
Clock: It won't exist
Mega: 16.xx
Pyra: 0.6x
Skewb: 0.75
Sq1: 3.47
4BLD: 38.xx
5BLD: 1:18.xx
MBLD: 110 points

Averages:

3x3: 4.20,
2x2: 0.9x
4x4: 15.xx
5x5: 25.xx
6x6: 49.xx
7x7: 1:30.xx
Blind: 14.5x
FMC: 19
OH: 7.xx
Feet: It won't exist
Clock: It won't exist
Mega: 18.xx
Pyra: 0.99
Skewb: 1.3x
Sq1: 5.xx
4BLD: 45.xx
5BLD: 1:45.xx

New Events: Mirror Cube,
Removed Events: Feet, Clock
Event Format Changes: 2x2 will be Ao12 or more


Don't laugh at me until 2030.
Those are actually decent predictions, and you're right about feet and clock being gone. Isn't feet going to be gone in 2020 already?
 

DarkSavage

Member
Joined
Oct 27, 2019
Messages
77
Those are actually decent predictions, and you're right about feet and clock being gone. Isn't feet going to be gone in 2020 already?
Feet is definitely getting removed. I'm seeing a bunch of 2.xx for 3x3, but to me it kinda seems like its reached its potential(mostly). I've given a lot of improvement for BLD and big cubes cause I figure new methods could be developed. I also figure that weird puzzles like skewb and pyra won't be improved much because of the turning being weird. And clock...is clock
 

KingCanyon

Member
Joined
Jul 30, 2019
Messages
62
Location
Colorado
WCA
2015KIND01
Single:
3x3: 1.2
2x2: 0.2
4x4: 6.9
5x5: 11.4
6x6: 21.2
7x7: 45.8
Blind: 8.9
FMC: 10
OH: 4.5
Feet: 6.8
Clock: 0.9, assuming clock will still be an event
Mega: 10.9
Pyra: 0.2
Skewb: 0.5
Sq1: 1.9
4BLD: 20.1
5BLD: 40.2
MBLD: 150+ points

Average:
3x3: 2.1
2x2: 0.8
4x4: 10.4
5x5: 18.5
6x6: 26.6
7x7: 51.4
Blind: 14.7
FMC: 15
OH: 7.6
Feet: 9.8
Clock: 1.8
Mega: 16.4
Pyra: 0.9
Skewb: 1.2
Sq1: 2.4
4BLD: 20.5
5BLD: 49.6
MBLD: Hmmmm

I know this prediction may seem too absurd, but that old thread in 2009 had predictions that were laughable today, so this will be my prediction.
Ha ha! Sub 7 4x4 single. That would be amazing.
 

kadabrium

Member
Joined
Jun 13, 2019
Messages
63
3x3: 4
4x4: 15
5x5: 22
6x6:40
7x7: 1:00
megaminx: 15

Basically everything normalized to 8-10 tps. All we need to make this happen is a 60mm 7x7 that cornercuts a full turn
 
Last edited:

porkynator

Member
Joined
Oct 27, 2010
Messages
1,265
Location
Belluno, Italy
WCA
2011TRON02
YouTube
PorkyDays
Here are my predictions:

3x3: 2.81/4.76
2x2: 0.37/0.94
4x4: 14.71/17.66
5x5: 27.59/33.21
6x6: 52.38/1:00.07
7x7: 1:13.12/1:21.63
Blind: 11.38/14.67
FMC: 16/20.67
OH: 5.12/7.44
Feet: removed
Clock: 2.41/3.12
Mega: 21.81/25.78
Pyra: 0.67/1.34
Skewb: 0.81/1.54
Sq1: 3.47/5.12
4BLD: 46.81/58.36
5BLD: 1:46/2:03
MBLD: 71/72

New Events: none
Removed Events: feet
Event Format Changes: 3BLD (5 solves)
Competitors in the WCA: 680k
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2023
3x3 prize at WC2029: 7500€

Comments:
I feel like some of my predictions are very safe, but I believe we are getting close to plateau on some events. For "simple" puzzles (3x3, pyraminx, skewb and megaminx) I would be surprised to see an advancement in hardware in the next 10 years that is even remotely comparable to what we had in the last 10. Bigger cubes have a larger margin of improvent, and my predictions are lower accordingly.
 

jronge94

Member
Joined
Oct 30, 2018
Messages
54
Location
Belgium
WCA
2014RONG01
2x2: 0.35/0.88
3x3: 2.77/4.25
4x4: 13.50/16.72
5x5: 29.55/32.50
6x6: 53.23/55.65
7x7: 1:19.65/1:24.89
FMC: 15/19.33
OH: 5.06/6.23
Feet: removed
Clock: 2.5/3.2
Mega: 18.67/22.54
Sq-1: 3.99/5.34
Skewb: 0.89/1.62
Pyra: 0.65/1.22
3bld: 10.78/14.79
4bld: 47.76/55.87
5bld: 1:55.87/2:12.89
Multi: 85 points
 
Joined
May 26, 2019
Messages
29
Location
Netherlands
WCA
2017ALLE05
2×2: 0.39/0.86
3×3: 2.67/4.10
4×4: 12.98/15.46
5×5: 27.12/29.65
6×6: 49.87/54.87
7×7: 1:18.78/1:20.23
FMC: 13/17.98
Feet: removed

Clock: removed
Megaminx: 16.45/19.38
Square-1: 2.99/4.38
Skewb: 0.67/1.34
Pyraminx: 0.45/1.24
3bld: 9.78/12.38
4bld: 38.56/41.06
5bld: 1:34.89/1:41.67
Mbld: 110/120

Some seems pretty crazy but when you look to the improvement of the last 10 years it is pretty reasonable too.
 
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