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World Record Predictions for the year 2030

Loser

Member
Joined
Sep 4, 2017
Messages
304
Location
Massachusetts, USA
WCA
2016QUIN01
10 years and one day ago, the thread World Record predictions in the year 2020? was posted, which has since become one of the most viewed threads on Speedsolving, and produced some hilariously slow predictions.

So let's make some more! Here's a copy paste for singles/averages in all events, and a few random things I added. Feel free to make other predictions, or skip those that you don't care about. For reference, there is currently 137-138k people that have competed.

Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3:
2x2:
4x4:
5x5:
6x6:
7x7:
Blind:
FMC:
OH:
Feet:
Clock:
Mega:
Pyra:
Skewb:
Sq1:
4BLD:
5BLD:
MBLD:

New Events:
Removed Events:
Event Format Changes:
Competitors in the WCA:
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner:
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value):
 

Loser

Member
Joined
Sep 4, 2017
Messages
304
Location
Massachusetts, USA
WCA
2016QUIN01
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.16/4.03
2x2: 0.31/0.94
4x4: 9.56/11.93
5x5: 20.31/24.56
6x6: 45.67/49.67
7x7: 1:12.23/1:17.84
Blind: 8.45/10.23
FMC: 15/19.33
OH: 4.56/7.67
Feet: 8.92/11.45
Clock: 1.89/3.11 (if not removed)
Mega: 14.56/19.45
Pyra: 0.67/1.23
Skewb: 0.77/1.22
Sq1: 2.34/4.44
4BLD: 25.67/29.55
5BLD: 1:01.23/1:09.45
MBLD: 99/102, 59:58

New Events: 2 of them, idk what
Removed Events: Clock
Event Format Changes: BLD is ao5
Competitors in the WCA: 1,234,567
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2024
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): $15,000
 

RedstoneTim

Member
Joined
Jul 21, 2019
Messages
22
Location
Germany
YouTube
channel/UC0cMX-1ChZ-
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.07/3.81
2x2: 0.29/0.78
4x4: 10.47/13.00
Blind: 8.19/11.45
FMC: 15/19.66
OH: 4.13/6.53
Mega: 17.89/21.07

New Events: Curvy Copter
Removed Events: Feet and Clock
Competitors in the WCA: 2 Million
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2017

I'll predict that at that time, I will probably have stopped cubing altogether and won't get to see if my predictions were correct because I won't be interested anymore. I also guess that the 3x3 single will probably be a mish-mash of methods like the current one, probably from some CFOP person that is not over 10 years old at the time I'm writing this. There will be a lot more cubers in the future as well and ZB and Roux will be the most used methods of world class cubers.
Those are my thoughts, I'm probably off by quite a bit, but we'll see when time comes.
 
Joined
Sep 14, 2018
Messages
249
Location
My Desk
WCA
2018BRUM01
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.84
2x2: .38
4x4: 14.90
5x5: 31.69
6x6: 56.77
7x7: 1:28.95
Blind:9.43
FMC: 15
OH: 4.23
Feet: n/a
Clock: n/a
Mega: 23.58
Pyra: .69
Skewb: .69
Sq1: 3.47
4BLD: 36.84
5BLD: 1:13.45
MBLD: 69/69 59:34

New Events: clock with feet
Removed Events: Feet, clock
Event Format Changes: smart cubes are allowed
Competitors in the WCA: 170,000
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: Somebody who does not even have a wca profile rn
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): 6900 usd
I am bad at predicting things
 
Joined
Jun 29, 2019
Messages
272
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.15/4.37
2x2: 0.28/0.91
4x4: 10.7/14.83
5x5: 17.84/24.43
6x6: idk
7x7: idk
Blind: 10.7/13.6
FMC: 15/ 18
OH: 5.3/6
Feet: 12.47/19.4
Clock: 2.3/3
Mega: 22.4/25.98
Pyra: 0.5/1.01
Skewb: 0.6/1.8
Sq1: 3.1/5.3
4BLD: 43.5/50.4
5BLD: idk
MBLD: 74/80 58:57

New Events: curvy copter
Removed Events: feet, clock
 

PetrusQuber

Member
Joined
Jun 27, 2019
Messages
543
Location
my house, cubing.
YouTube
N/A
World record 3x3 average will be held by a Petrus user, and be sub 5.4
3x3 single will be the same
OH single will be the same
OH average will sub 9.2
FMC will be sub 18
I can’t say about much else, cos no experience, so
2x2 avg and single is sub 0.2
4x4 average will be a multiple of 4 when rounded to the nearest whole number
4x4 single will be a multiple of 4.7 when rounded to one decimal place
5x5
6x6
7x7
Blind
Feet
Clock
Mega
Pyra
Skewb
Sq1
4BLD
5BLD
All’s WR shall be amultiple of 3 when rounded to the nearest whole number :)
 

ThatLucas

Member
Joined
Jan 25, 2019
Messages
6
Single:
3x3: 1.2
2x2: 0.2
4x4: 6.9
5x5: 11.4
6x6: 21.2
7x7: 45.8
Blind: 8.9
FMC: 10
OH: 4.5
Feet: 6.8
Clock: 0.9, assuming clock will still be an event
Mega: 10.9
Pyra: 0.2
Skewb: 0.5
Sq1: 1.9
4BLD: 20.1
5BLD: 40.2
MBLD: 150+ points

Average:
3x3: 2.1
2x2: 0.8
4x4: 10.4
5x5: 18.5
6x6: 26.6
7x7: 51.4
Blind: 14.7
FMC: 15
OH: 7.6
Feet: 9.8
Clock: 1.8
Mega: 16.4
Pyra: 0.9
Skewb: 1.2
Sq1: 2.4
4BLD: 20.5
5BLD: 49.6
MBLD: Hmmmm

I know this prediction may seem too absurd, but that old thread in 2009 had predictions that were laughable today, so this will be my prediction.
 
Last edited:

tx789

Member
Joined
Sep 6, 2010
Messages
1,873
Location
New Zealand
WCA
2010HUNT02
YouTube
thetx789
This is hard. People in have always underestimated how fast people would get. I think records will start to plateau by 2030 and winning big comps will become more and more important to people. That is all I am willing to predict.


The event list might change a little if Lucas Garron's tiers and ephemeral events get through.
 
Last edited:

Skittleskp

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Apr 2, 2018
Messages
217
Location
Cali!!
WCA
2019PATE10
YouTube
KP Perm click link /
I was looking at this the other day... thought it would be fun to link here.
 

CyanSandwich

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Joined
Oct 4, 2012
Messages
1,608
Location
Wellington, New Zealand
WCA
2013NELS01
YouTube
c/TomNelson1
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.78/4.22
2x2: 0.29/0.89
4x4: 13.01/16.00
5x5: 26.12/29.90
6x6: 44.45/48.03
7x7: 1:20.99/1:26.54
Blind: 9.78/13.95
FMC: 14/19.33
OH: 4.32/6.91
Feet: 11.99/14.33 (but most likely removed)
Clock: 2.56/3.67 (a bit less likely removed)
Mega: 16.14/19.13
Pyra: 0.84/1.41
Skewb: 0.83/1.39
Sq1: 3.08/4.07
4BLD: 41.22/48.78
5BLD: 1:28.31/1:37.69
MBLD: 69 points (71/73 59:40)

New Events: don't know, but there'll be 2 of them
Removed Events: Feet, clock
Event Format Changes: none
Competitors in the WCA: 420666
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2025
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): $10,000
 

Dylan Swarts

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Messages
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South Africa
WCA
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UC9YN9Yu6lFhffWkrX5D
Most of these are pretty much very impossible, because many events have reached their limits or are very close to it.
I do say that multi-blind will still go a long way. I calculated very roughly that to do 60 cubes in an hour you would need to be able to do a cube in 1 minute or less on average. And since top 3blders do 3bld in 20 or less seconds, I believe that doing 40s per cube would enable you to do 90 cubes for multi. Maybe more. So I think something close to 90/90 multi in an hour
 

PetrusQuber

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Messages
543
Location
my house, cubing.
YouTube
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I wonder if cubing will still be a thing in say, 50 years?
Well, I’ll keep it up... I can go on the thread for older cubers by then. :)
I wonder what cubes might have come out... A gts6m? A re-invention of the hualong? Valk 3 Power M Heavy, etc.


New prediction: I predict that person who was a sub 5.4 Petrus user and 3x3 avg WR holder will be yours truly.
 

BenChristman1

Member
Joined
Oct 26, 2019
Messages
67
Location
Minnesota, United States
WCA
2019CHRI11
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.85
2x2: 0.4
4x4: 13
5x5: 24
6x6: 45
7x7: 1:00
Blind: 12
FMC: 14
OH: 4.5
Feet: Will not be an event
Clock: Will not be an event
Mega: 23
Pyra: 0.8
Skewb: 0.8
Sq1: 4
4BLD: 1:15
5BLD: 2:30
MBLD: 67/70

New Events: None
Removed Events: Feet, Clock
Event Format Changes: IDK
Competitors in the WCA: IDK how many there are now
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2024
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): in U.S. dollars, $5,000
 

MEF227

Member
Joined
Sep 1, 2019
Messages
22
Location
Midwestern USA
3x3: 2.87/4.78
2x2: 0.39/0.99
4x4: 13.45/17.67
5x5: 29.76/35.36
6x6: 59.84/1:07.72
7x7: 1:25.64/1:34.56
Blind: 11.56/15.67
FMC: 14/19
OH: 6.32/7.90
Feet: N/A
Clock: N/A
Mega: 23.56/26.32
Pyra: 0.69/1.15
Skewb: 0.75/1.58
Sq1: 3.67/5.34
4BLD: 53.95/1:00.76
5BLD: 2:15.78/3:04.53
MBLD: 73/75

New Events: Redi Cube
Removed Events: Feet and Clock
Event Format Changes: Further spectator distance
Competitors in the WCA: 189k
 
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