World Record Predictions for Year 2025

[Competition Cuber]

What do you think that the WCA world records will be in the year 2025? This is basically the same thing as the 2020 thread, just 5 years ahead.

 

[Mastercuber04]

Sub 3.5 for 3x3
Sub 15 4x4
Sub 25 5x5
Sub 1 6x6
Sub 1:30 7x7
These may be a stretch but here

 

[Duncan Bannon]

Sub 3.5 for 3x3
Sub 15 4x4
Sub 25 5x5
Sub 1 6x6
Sub 1:30 7x7
These may be a stretch but here

Average? or single?

 

[Competition Cuber]

Average? or single?

lol single nobody is ever going to get a sub-25 5x5 average

 

[Duncan Bannon]

lol single nobody is ever going to get a sub-25 5x5 average

Anyway, here's mine: (single, average)
2x2: 0.35, 0.88
3x3: 3.32, 4.75
4x4: 16.97, 18.76
5x5: 32.56, 39.64
6x6: 59.67, 1:05.16
7x7: 1:40.51, 1:52.48

Ill edit this post with the rest of the events later.

Hey, he said it was a little bit of a stretch.....But you for sure have a point.

Spoiler

If you want another excuse for my lack of effort, I am sick.

 

[willi pilz]

3x3 - 3.9______cube: ¯\(ツ)/¯
4x4 - 16.9_____cube: 60mm Yuxin Blue Version 2
5x5 - 35.9_____cube: 62mm Gans 562 helium
6x6 - 1:02.9 ___cube: 63mm Qiyi FoshHua 6x6 V2
7x7 - 1:40.9 ___cube: 64mm moyu KungFu Master GTS 4

 

[Hazel]

2x2: sub-0.40, sub-1
3x3: sub-3.90, sub-4.70
4x4: sub-16, sub-19.50
5x5: sub-29, sub-34
multiblind: Over 50 points
I think there will also be at least 1 new WCA event.

 

[DGCubes]

3x3 - 3.03/4.41
2x2 - 0.42/1.06
4x4 - 14.98/17.00
5x5 - 27.88/31.11
6x6 - 59.80/1:03.45
7x7 - 1:37.16/1:43.22
3BLD - 11.02/14.38
FMC - 17/20.67
OH - 4.99/7.31
Feet - 13.28/15.17
Clock - 2.93/3.81
Mega - 20.18/22.95
Pyra - 0.75/1.51
Skewb - 0.80/1.58
Sq-1 - 3.72/5.03
4BLD - 1:03.10
5BLD - 2:57.87
MBLD - 59/60 in 59:50

Honestly can't wait to see how wrong I am. I tried to make these sound ridiculous now, because the future records will seem ridiculous/impossible to us. With the insanely fast growth rate of cubing, I wouldn't be surprised if we see large, specialized communities develop around more events, kind of like what we've seen with 3BLD and MBLD recently. I feel like most events won't have a single dominating person, but rather an entire group of people who are all equally skilled and capable of getting WRs.

(Also, I'd like to predict that some events would be added and some would be removed, but that's a shot in the dark at this point. Really hard to say what will be trending enough to become an event between now and then.)

 

[Mr.Roux86]

I am giving a prediction on only 3x3
Single: 3.306
Avg: 3.724

But why this specific. Well, that is because with some unreliable calculations, taking the average time drop of the single and average wr since 2012, we get-
Single -.214
avg -.346

I took this information into excel and subtracted that from the current wr. Then I took that time and subtracted again. Assuming a wr is broken at least yearly. By 2025 we will have 3.306single and 3.724avg.

So according to this unreliable data that probably is wrong, here is the timeline
(year - single wr - average wr)
19 4.59 5.8
20 4.376 5.454
21 4.162 5.108
22 3.948 4.762
23 3.734 4.416
24 3.52 4.07
25 3.306 3.724
26 3.092 3.378
27 2.878 3.032
28 2.664 2.686
29 2.45 2.34
30 2.236 1.994
31 2.022 1.648
32 1.808 1.302
33 1.594 0.956
34 1.38 0.61
35 1.166 0.264
36 0.952 -0.082
37 0.738 -0.428
38 0.524 -0.774
39 0.31 -1.12
40 0.096 -1.466
41 -0.118 -1.812
42 -0.332 -2.158
43 -0.546 -2.504
44 -0.76 -2.85
45 -0.974 -3.196
46 -1.188 -3.542
47 -1.402 -3.888
48 -1.616 -4.234
49 -1.83 -4.58
50 -2.044 -4.926

 

[Mastercuber04]

Average? or single?

Im talking single

 

[CyanSandwich]

Current records for reference

3x3 - 3.09/4.65 4.59/5.80
2x2 - 0.41/1.02 0.49/1.35
4x4 - 14.49/19.30 19.36/22.55
5x5 - 28.76/33.10 38.52/43.21
6x6 - 55.34/59.88 1:19.60/1:25.10
7x7 - 1:29.91/1:37.78 2:06.73/2:13.12
3BLD - 12.28/15.69 17.87/22.36
FMC - 18/21.33 19/24.00
OH - 4.97/7.90 6.88/9.99
Feet - 14.31/17.64 20.57/26.84
Clock - 2.98/3.97 3.73/4.95
Mega - 19.79/23.16 29.93/32.03
Pyra - 0.92/1.55 1.20/2.02
Skewb - 0.80/1.47 1.10/2.03
Sq-1 - 3.63/5.90 5.73/8.04
4BLD - 1:05.75/1:13.10 1:34.66/1:43.13(means aren't records currently)
5BLD - 2:39.44/2:57.11 3:46.56/3:54.71(means aren't records currently)
MBLD - 52 points (56/60 in 1:00:00) 41/41 in 54:14

 

[MiaSponseller]

19.12 Megaminx single and 20.13 average

 

[Mastermind2368]

2x2: 0.25, 0.98
3x3: 2.43, 4.21
4x4: 15.32, 17.43
5x5: 29.63, 37.31
6x6: 1:01.32, 1:09.65
7x7: 1:32.42, 1:36.42
BLD: 13.42, 16.42
FMC: 16, 20
OH: 4.51, 6.02
Feet: 12.53, 16.36
Clock (People will be able to 1 look this event.); 2.53, 3.63
Mega: 23.43, 27.07
Pyra: 0.72, 1.47
Skewb: 0.71, 1.83
Squan: 3.64, 5.42
4BLD: 58.42
5BLD: 2:10.24
Multi: 80/82 59:42

 

[Sajwo]

2x2: 0.29, 0.89
3x3: 3.20, 4.30
4x4: 14.10, 17.50
5x5: 27.80, 35.00
6x6: 55.00, 58.80
7x7: 1:37.00, 1:42.00
BLD: 9.95, 14.90
FMC: 18, 20.67
OH: 5.40, 7.80
Feet: 12.50, 15.90
Clock 2.20, 3.50
Mega: 23.00, 27.50
Pyra: 0.70, 1.35
Skewb: 0.70, 1.35
Squre-1: 2.90, 5.00
4BLD: 58.00
5BLD: 1:55.00
Multi: 58 points

Top100 will be sub6 average
Some people might sometimes 1-look square-1
There will be a new Max Park
There will be a competition with >2500 competitors
4BLD and 5BLD means will be officially recognised

 

[Hazel]

Clock (People will be able to 1 look this event.)

There's already a method called NoFlip where I think you can do this, but not that many people use it I think.

 

[CornerCutter]

3x3 - 2.80/4.20
2x2 - 0.40/0.95
4x4 - 12.90/16.50
5x5 - 27.50/33.80
6x6 - 55.30/1:05.50
7x7 - 1:33.50/1:45.88
3BLD - 9.80/13.50
FMC - 16/19.33
OH - 4.86/6.50
Feet - 11.50/16.50
Clock - 2.45/3.50
Mega - 18.50/21.50
Pyra - 0.69/1.40
Skewb - 0.75/1.60
Sq-1 - 4.30/5.90
4BLD - 55.75
5BLD - 2:39.50
MBLD - 68/71 in 59:46

I'll probably just laugh in 7 years.

 

[Alex B71]

I am giving a prediction on only 3x3
Single: 3.306
Avg: 3.724

But why this specific. Well, that is because with some unreliable calculations, taking the average time drop of the single and average wr since 2012, we get-
Single -.214
avg -.346

I took this information into excel and subtracted that from the current wr. Then I took that time and subtracted again. Assuming a wr is broken at least yearly. By 2025 we will have 3.306single and 3.724avg.

So according to this unreliable data that probably is wrong, here is the timeline
(year - single wr - average wr)
19 4.59 5.8
20 4.376 5.454
21 4.162 5.108
22 3.948 4.762
23 3.734 4.416
24 3.52 4.07
25 3.306 3.724
26 3.092 3.378
...
47 -1.402 -3.888
48 -1.616 -4.234
49 -1.83 -4.58
50 -2.044 -4.926

I can't wait for 2050, That is literally going to blow my mind!

 

[Competition Cuber]

12.90

Im sorry, but no. Unless someone like Max or whoever is pro then gets something like an edge paring skip, not happening. (no offense though)

 

[thecubingwizard]

Im sorry, but no. Unless someone like Max or whoever is pro then gets something like an edge paring skip, not happening. (no offense though)

How can we say? Back in the day if someone said that there would be official sub-40s on 5x5, we would have called them insane. It may seem out of reach now, but I honestly think anything is possible. 4x4 hardware still has a ways to go, and I'm sure that Yau/Hoya are not the best speedsolving methods.

 

[turtwig]

Im sorry, but no. Unless someone like Max or whoever is pro then gets something like an edge paring skip, not happening. (no offense though)

I wouldn't be so sure. I remember maybe not even a year ago the 3BLD UWR was ~16, and now I believe it is ~12. Right now the 4x4 is ~17, so, someone'll probably have to get really lucky, it may be possible.