World Record Predictions for the year 2030

[OreKehStrah]

Just off the top of my head, these are my predictions for singles January 1st, 2030 excluding decimal places beyond a certain point:
3x3: 3.2xy
2x2: 0.3xy
4x4: 13.xy
5x5: 29.xy
6x6: 51.xy
7x7: 1:39.xy
Blind: 10.xy
OH: 4.xy
Clock: 2.9xy
Mega: 19-21

I might try do some math to make some predictions later since I'm a math major lol

 

[Hazel]

Just off the top of my head, these are my predictions for singles January 1st, 2030 excluding decimal places beyond a certain point:
3x3: 3.2xy
2x2: 0.3xy
4x4: 13.xy
5x5: 29.xy
6x6: 51.xy
7x7: 1:39.xy
Blind: 10.xy
OH: 4.xy
Clock: 2.9xy
Mega: 19-21

I might try do some math to make some predictions later since I'm a math major lol

Tbh I think all of these are too slow. I bet your clock prediction, for example, will be beaten easily by 2025

 

[BenChristman1]

That is worse than now

Oops sorry maybe 50 sec then

 

[OreKehStrah]

Tbh I think all of these are too slow. I bet your clock prediction, for example, will be beaten easily by 2025

I’m sure they are, these are just reasonable to attain times for a placeholder while I try to do math to make a prediction lol

 

[asacuber]

CFOP will go out of fashion

 

[OreKehStrah]

CFOP will go out of fashion

I disagree, at least to an extent. I think that what is currently CFOP will pick up more and more advanced techniques and borrow traits from other methods, that all build on the foundation of traditional CFOP. I don’t think it’ll ever go away completely since it’s still obviously a good method, and no other method has reached close to the same amount of users, although part of it is simply availability of resources. People still use ZZ and Petrus so people will probably use CFOP for the next 50 years at least. That’s just my take though. Who knows, maybe all the dominant solvers will fade out of the community over time and generation of Roux solvers will start the true Rouxvolution lol

 

[asacuber]

I disagree, at least to an extent. I think that what is currently CFOP will pick up more and more advanced techniques and borrow traits from other methods, that all build on the foundation of traditional CFOP. I don’t think it’ll ever go away completely since it’s still obviously a good method, and no other method has reached close to the same amount of users, although part of it is simply availability of resources. People still use ZZ and Petrus so people will probably use CFOP for the next 50 years at least. That’s just my take though. Who knows, maybe all the dominant solvers will fade out of the community over time and generation of Roux solvers will start the true Rouxvolution lol

I should've made myself clear; I wanted to say that CFOP as we know it now will take on some major mutation. I agree with you.

 

[Klaudiusz Szyprocinski]

3x3: 2.85 / 4.30
4x4: 14.40 / 17.50
5x5: 27.80 / 32.10
6x6: 51.00 / 57.50
7x7: 1:19:00 / 1:24:00
3BLD: 9.20 / 11.00
OH: 4.95 / 6.99
MBLD: 85 points

CFOP will remain to be superior method
Roux method will fall

 

[parkertrager]

Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.65 single 3.8 average either with zz or roux CFOP will be proven slower
2x2: .31single .74 average and people will use a lot more methods and know a lot more algs than now
4x4: 9.87 single 14.7 average
5x5: 26.7 single 29 average with Yau or Hoya
6x6: 47 single 53 average hardware will be as good as our current 3x3 hardware once again Hoya or Yau
7x7: 1:07 single 1:14 average Yau or Hoya again
Blind: it will actually be very similar but some people will know a lot of 5 style and I think people will be able to look at cube and just memorize it so 11.7 single 12.89 average
FMC: Same single but tied and 20.33 mean
OH: 3.7 single 4.9 average with zz or roux
Feet: 8.7 single 11.6 average with zz
Clock: sub 1 and sub 2 new method will be dsicovetd and used and hardware will be insane
Mega: 17 single 24 average
pyra: .38 single sub 1 average people will know a lot more this event has had a lot of new methods made in the last year and that will continue people will know 1000s of algs and know insane fingertricks and hardware will be amazing
Skewb: 1.22 average .72 single more methods will be used and people will turn a lot better and average 11 moves
Sq1: 2.12 single 4.3 average hardware will be a lot better and a new method will be used yet to be discovered
4BLD: 39 single 52 average people will memo just by glancing at jt just like 3ld
5BLD: 1:04 single 1:15 average people will memo by glancing at it
MBLD: 120 cubes

New Events: none
Removed Events: none
Event Format Changes: no stafkmats smart cubes only
Competitors in the WCA: not much more than we have now
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2017
3x3 prize at WC2029 ($100,000) sponsored by some big company of celebrity

 

[ProStar]

Predictions for January 1st, 2030:

Singles:

3x3: 3.00, Yusheng's record will last a while though
2x2: 0.33
4x4: 10.xx
5x5: 21.xx
6x6: 45.xx
7x7: 1:20.xx
Blind: 12.xx
FMC: 14
OH: 5.xx
Feet: It won't exist (obviously)
Clock: It won't exist
Mega: 16.xx
Pyra: 0.6x
Skewb: 0.75
Sq1: 3.47
4BLD: 38.xx
5BLD: 1:18.xx
MBLD: 110 points

Averages:

3x3: 4.20,
2x2: 0.9x
4x4: 15.xx
5x5: 25.xx
6x6: 49.xx
7x7: 1:30.xx
Blind: 14.5x
FMC: 19
OH: 7.xx
Feet: It won't exist
Clock: It won't exist
Mega: 18.xx
Pyra: 0.99
Skewb: 1.3x
Sq1: 5.xx
4BLD: 45.xx
5BLD: 1:45.xx

New Events: Mirror Cube,
Removed Events: Feet, Clock
Event Format Changes: 2x2 will be Ao12 or more


Don't laugh at me until 2030.

 

[BenChristman1]

Predictions for January 1st, 2030:

Singles:

3x3: 3.00, Yusheng's record will last a while though
2x2: 0.33
4x4: 10.xx
5x5: 21.xx
6x6: 45.xx
7x7: 1:20.xx
Blind: 12.xx
FMC: 14
OH: 5.xx
Feet: It won't exist (obviously)
Clock: It won't exist
Mega: 16.xx
Pyra: 0.6x
Skewb: 0.75
Sq1: 3.47
4BLD: 38.xx
5BLD: 1:18.xx
MBLD: 110 points

Averages:

3x3: 4.20,
2x2: 0.9x
4x4: 15.xx
5x5: 25.xx
6x6: 49.xx
7x7: 1:30.xx
Blind: 14.5x
FMC: 19
OH: 7.xx
Feet: It won't exist
Clock: It won't exist
Mega: 18.xx
Pyra: 0.99
Skewb: 1.3x
Sq1: 5.xx
4BLD: 45.xx
5BLD: 1:45.xx

New Events: Mirror Cube,
Removed Events: Feet, Clock
Event Format Changes: 2x2 will be Ao12 or more


Don't laugh at me until 2030.

Those are actually decent predictions, and you're right about feet and clock being gone. Isn't feet going to be gone in 2020 already?

 

[ProStar]

Those are actually decent predictions, and you're right about feet and clock being gone. Isn't feet going to be gone in 2020 already?

Feet is definitely getting removed. I'm seeing a bunch of 2.xx for 3x3, but to me it kinda seems like its reached its potential(mostly). I've given a lot of improvement for BLD and big cubes cause I figure new methods could be developed. I also figure that weird puzzles like skewb and pyra won't be improved much because of the turning being weird. And clock...is clock

 

[KingCanyon]

Single:
3x3: 1.2
2x2: 0.2
4x4: 6.9
5x5: 11.4
6x6: 21.2
7x7: 45.8
Blind: 8.9
FMC: 10
OH: 4.5
Feet: 6.8
Clock: 0.9, assuming clock will still be an event
Mega: 10.9
Pyra: 0.2
Skewb: 0.5
Sq1: 1.9
4BLD: 20.1
5BLD: 40.2
MBLD: 150+ points

Average:
3x3: 2.1
2x2: 0.8
4x4: 10.4
5x5: 18.5
6x6: 26.6
7x7: 51.4
Blind: 14.7
FMC: 15
OH: 7.6
Feet: 9.8
Clock: 1.8
Mega: 16.4
Pyra: 0.9
Skewb: 1.2
Sq1: 2.4
4BLD: 20.5
5BLD: 49.6
MBLD: Hmmmm

I know this prediction may seem too absurd, but that old thread in 2009 had predictions that were laughable today, so this will be my prediction.

Ha ha! Sub 7 4x4 single. That would be amazing.

 

[kadabrium]

3x3: 4
4x4: 15
5x5: 22
6x6:40
7x7: 1:00
megaminx: 15

Basically everything normalized to 8-10 tps. All we need to make this happen is a 60mm 7x7 that cornercuts a full turn

 

[porkynator]

Here are my predictions:

3x3: 2.81/4.76
2x2: 0.37/0.94
4x4: 14.71/17.66
5x5: 27.59/33.21
6x6: 52.38/1:00.07
7x7: 1:13.12/1:21.63
Blind: 11.38/14.67
FMC: 16/20.67
OH: 5.12/7.44
Feet: removed
Clock: 2.41/3.12
Mega: 21.81/25.78
Pyra: 0.67/1.34
Skewb: 0.81/1.54
Sq1: 3.47/5.12
4BLD: 46.81/58.36
5BLD: 1:46/2:03
MBLD: 71/72

New Events: none
Removed Events: feet
Event Format Changes: 3BLD (5 solves)
Competitors in the WCA: 680k
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2023
3x3 prize at WC2029: 7500€

Comments:
I feel like some of my predictions are very safe, but I believe we are getting close to plateau on some events. For "simple" puzzles (3x3, pyraminx, skewb and megaminx) I would be surprised to see an advancement in hardware in the next 10 years that is even remotely comparable to what we had in the last 10. Bigger cubes have a larger margin of improvent, and my predictions are lower accordingly.

 

[ProStar]

FMC: 16/20.67

I like how your saying no one will break your FMC Single WR

 

[porkynator]

I like how your saying no one will break your FMC Single WR

If you asked me before June I would have predicted the WR to be still 17 in 10 years

 

[jronge94]

2x2: 0.35/0.88
3x3: 2.77/4.25
4x4: 13.50/16.72
5x5: 29.55/32.50
6x6: 53.23/55.65
7x7: 1:19.65/1:24.89
FMC: 15/19.33
OH: 5.06/6.23
Feet: removed
Clock: 2.5/3.2
Mega: 18.67/22.54
Sq-1: 3.99/5.34
Skewb: 0.89/1.62
Pyra: 0.65/1.22
3bld: 10.78/14.79
4bld: 47.76/55.87
5bld: 1:55.87/2:12.89
Multi: 85 points

 

[Koen van Aller]

2×2: 0.39/0.86
3×3: 2.67/4.10
4×4: 12.98/15.46
5×5: 27.12/29.65
6×6: 49.87/54.87
7×7: 1:18.78/1:20.23
FMC: 13/17.98
Feet: removed
Clock: removed
Megaminx: 16.45/19.38
Square-1: 2.99/4.38
Skewb: 0.67/1.34
Pyraminx: 0.45/1.24
3bld: 9.78/12.38
4bld: 38.56/41.06
5bld: 1:34.89/1:41.67
Mbld: 110/120

Some seems pretty crazy but when you look to the improvement of the last 10 years it is pretty reasonable too.

 

[ProStar]

FMC: 13/17.98

@porkynator being experienced in FMC, do you think the WR will ever get down that low? (I'm basically asking if that's possible, as I don't know a bunch about FMC)