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World Record Predictions for the year 2030

CuberL

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Joined
Feb 13, 2021
Messages
19
Location
Canada
3x3: 2.75/4.56
2x2: 0.38/ 0.91
4x4: 13.42/16.53
5x5: 24.76/28.23
6x6: 58.78/1:03.65
7x7: 1:29.89/1:35.77
Blind: 9.34/13.23
FMC: 15/19.66
OH: 4.94/7.32
Clock: 1.6/3.11
Mega: 23.27/25.44
Pyra: 0.68/0.95
Skewb: 0.85/1.65
Sq1: 1.96/3.65
4BLD: 1:02.56/1:10.73
5BLD: 1:56.86/ 2:02.50
MBLD: 67 points

New Events: N/a
Removed Events: Clock, Feet was already removed
Event Format Changes: 3 BLD Ao5
Competitors in the WCA: 900,000
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2023
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): $25000 USD
Idk dude
 

CuberL

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Feb 13, 2021
Messages
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Location
Canada
at the rate chinese cubers and young prodigies are improving, sub-5 avg is basically guaranteed. I think maybe sub-4 is maybe possible if these chinese cubers could combine tymon efficiency with their insane 12+ tps. also a sub-3 single will happen sooner or later when a top level cuber gets the luckiest scramble ever.
I doubt it because the efficiency takes more thinking and more planning, which they do not do too much of. I don't think Yiheng Wang, Ruihang Xu, or Yezhen Han don't even do COLL. If they somehow figure out a way to combine those then sub-4.5 is definitely possible but I don't think they will get under that with just their tps. 60 moves/12tps = 5 seconds, but 48/12tps = 4 seconds, and I don't think they get sub-50 move solutions without a skip. On Ruihang's 2.68 he didn't stop to recognize the WV, which would have saved him 3 moves and most likely a sub-2.6. It is little things like that which will hold them back. Not saying they aren't rapid, but they probably won't be too efficient in the near future in my opinion.
 

qwr

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I doubt it because the efficiency takes more thinking and more planning, which they do not do too much of. I don't think Yiheng Wang, Ruihang Xu, or Yezhen Han don't even do COLL. If they somehow figure out a way to combine those then sub-4.5 is definitely possible but I don't think they will get under that with just their tps. 60 moves/12tps = 5 seconds, but 48/12tps = 4 seconds, and I don't think they get sub-50 move solutions without a skip. On Ruihang's 2.68 he didn't stop to recognize the WV, which would have saved him 3 moves and most likely a sub-2.6. It is little things like that which will hold them back. Not saying they aren't rapid, but they probably won't be too efficient in the near future in my opinion.
Yezhen Han did keyhole and several xcrosses on his AsR avg https://speedcubedb.com/r/5152. He is more efficient than Ruihang.
 

BenChristman1

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Joined
Oct 26, 2019
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3,505
Location
The Land of 11,842 Lakes
WCA
2019CHRI11
SS Competition Results
I think I’m going to update my predictions, since some of these are pretty bad. (This was also my first post on the forums, so that’s awesome!)

Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.85
2x2: 0.4
4x4: 13
5x5: 24
6x6: 45
7x7: 1:00
Blind: 12
FMC: 14
OH: 4.5
Feet: Will not be an event
Clock: Will not be an event
Mega: 23
Pyra: 0.8
Skewb: 0.8
Sq1: 4
4BLD: 1:15
5BLD: 2:30
MBLD: 67/70

New Events: None
Removed Events: Feet, Clock
Event Format Changes: IDK
Competitors in the WCA: IDK how many there are now
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2024
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): in U.S. dollars, $5,000
3x3: 2.5 / 4.5
2x2: 0.40 / 0.90
4x4: 13.xx / 18.xx
5x5: 28.xx / 32.xx
6x6: 59.xx / 1:05.xx
7x7: 1:25.xx / 1:35.xx
3BLD: 12.xx / 16.xx
FMC: 15 / 20.00
OH: 4.5 / 7.5
RIP feet
Clock: 2.3 / 3.3
Megaminx: 22.xx / 25.xx
Pyraminx: 0.80 / 1.3
Skewb: 0.85 / 1.8
Square-1: 3.9 / 5.8
4BLD: 55.xx / 59.xx
5BLD: 2:05.xx / 2:15.xx
MBLD: 70/72
FTO: 13.xx / 18.xx (I don’t know anything about FTO, so this might be a stupid guess)

New events: FTO
Removed events: None (besides feet)
Event format changes: Article Y will still be in the Regulations
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2024
3x3 prize at WC2029 in USD: $10,000
 

LBr

Member
Joined
May 2, 2021
Messages
686
Location
no
WCA
2022FOGG01
prediction for average wrs 2030

2x2 - sub 1
3x3 - sub 4.5
4x4 - sub 18
5x5 - sub 37
6x6 - sub 1:15
7x7 - sub 1:45
oh - sub 8.5
pyra - sub 1.6
skewb - sub 1.7
clock - sub 3
mega - sub 27
3BLD - sub 15
4BLD - sub 1 min
5bld - sub 2:10
MBLD - 70+
sq1 - sub 5.5
FMC - sub 20.67
 

LBr

Member
Joined
May 2, 2021
Messages
686
Location
no
WCA
2022FOGG01
New Events: rescramble
Removed Events: clock
Event Format Changes: lower cutoffs, adaptation in running of bld/fmc
Competitors in the WCA: ~300,000
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2021
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): $20000
 
Joined
May 28, 2021
Messages
777
Location
Cubing
WCA
2022WEIP01
Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
Section A
3x3: 2.3/4.9
2x2: 0.2/0.9
4x4: 14/16
5x5: 28/33
Blind: 12/17
OH: 4.5/5.5
Clock: 2/3
Mega: 23/27
Pyra: 0.4/1.3
Skewb: 0.6/1.5
Sq1: 3.5/5.5
4BLD: 50/55

Section B
6x6: 58/1.10
7x7: 1.30/1.35
5BLD: 2.10/2.20
MBLD: 165/170
FMC: 15/19.67

New Events: (Edit: A: Kilominx, Redi Cube, Master Pyraminx, Mirror blocks, FTO B: Curvy copter, 6BLD, 7BLD)
Removed Events: None
Event Format Changes: MBLD extended to 3 hours, Events split to section A (Main one) and B(Only used for worlds and some comps.
Competitors in the WCA: 200000
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2023
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value6): ???
 
Last edited:
Joined
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Speed:
2x2: 0.3/0.5
3x3: low 2/4.1
4x4: 9/14
5x5: 23/30
6x6: 48/55
7x7: 1:10/1:25
OH: 3.5/5.8
Mega: 20/24
Pyra: 0.4/0.8
Skewb: same as pyra
Squan: 2.5/4.8
Clock: 1.7/2.5
Feet: 9/12
FTO: 8/12(if QiYi produces one)

BLD:
3x3: 7/12
4x4: 39/48
5x5: 1:10/1:18-1:22
Multi: 75/75 1:00.00(by Rowe/Graham in 2023, unbroken till 2030)

Other:
FMC: 12/18

WCA worlds 2029 winning average: 4.24
Winner's WCA ID: 2022KAVA01(lol imagine me winning worlds with Mehta)
Cash prize: $10000
New events: FTO, Feet
 
Last edited:

abunickabhi

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Jan 9, 2014
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2013GHOD01
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I wonder if cubing would be even more popular in the future or is it going to have a small but developed community. (I hope you get what I mean) It would be nice for it to become more popular in some countries.
Yes cubing still has to reach out to 90ish countries. Most of the northern Africa has had no official or even unofficial cube competition. There is a lot of scope for outreach once the pandemic ends.
 

LukasCubes

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Aug 10, 2020
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2x2: Sub-0.48
3x3: Sub-3
4x4: Sub-12
5x5: Sub-30
6x6: Sub-1
7x7: Sub-1:30
3OH: Sub-5
3BLD: Sub-12
MBLD: 69/70
FMC: 14
4BLD: ?
5BLD: Sub-2
Feet: NOOO
Clock: NOOOOOO
Mega: Sub-24
Pyra: Sub-0.7
Skewb: Sub-0.7
Sq1: Sub-4

Removed Events: Feet + Clock
New Events: Kilominx + FTO
 
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