World Record Predictions for the year 2030

[carcass]

Lol I was making a joke in case you didn’t realise that in my original post (which was a year back)

It's good there is an absurd post so that in ten years they aren't faster than ALL our posts. Look at the the 2020 predictions, almost all predictions are too low.

 

[David ep]

2030 is too hard to predict so imma do 2023
3x3:3.47/5.09 by ruilang xu
2x2:0.41/1/14 by will callan
4x4 16.94/19.87 by max park
5x5-7x7 max park
blind idk

 

[CuberL]

3x3: 2.75/4.56
2x2: 0.38/ 0.91
4x4: 13.42/16.53
5x5: 24.76/28.23
6x6: 58.78/1:03.65
7x7: 1:29.89/1:35.77
Blind: 9.34/13.23
FMC: 15/19.66
OH: 4.94/7.32
Clock: 1.6/3.11
Mega: 23.27/25.44
Pyra: 0.68/0.95
Skewb: 0.85/1.65
Sq1: 1.96/3.65
4BLD: 1:02.56/1:10.73
5BLD: 1:56.86/ 2:02.50
MBLD: 67 points

New Events: N/a
Removed Events: Clock, Feet was already removed
Event Format Changes: 3 BLD Ao5
Competitors in the WCA: 900,000
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2023
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): $25000 USD
Idk dude

 

[CuberL]

at the rate chinese cubers and young prodigies are improving, sub-5 avg is basically guaranteed. I think maybe sub-4 is maybe possible if these chinese cubers could combine tymon efficiency with their insane 12+ tps. also a sub-3 single will happen sooner or later when a top level cuber gets the luckiest scramble ever.

I doubt it because the efficiency takes more thinking and more planning, which they do not do too much of. I don't think Yiheng Wang, Ruihang Xu, or Yezhen Han don't even do COLL. If they somehow figure out a way to combine those then sub-4.5 is definitely possible but I don't think they will get under that with just their tps. 60 moves/12tps = 5 seconds, but 48/12tps = 4 seconds, and I don't think they get sub-50 move solutions without a skip. On Ruihang's 2.68 he didn't stop to recognize the WV, which would have saved him 3 moves and most likely a sub-2.6. It is little things like that which will hold them back. Not saying they aren't rapid, but they probably won't be too efficient in the near future in my opinion.

 

[qwr]

I doubt it because the efficiency takes more thinking and more planning, which they do not do too much of. I don't think Yiheng Wang, Ruihang Xu, or Yezhen Han don't even do COLL. If they somehow figure out a way to combine those then sub-4.5 is definitely possible but I don't think they will get under that with just their tps. 60 moves/12tps = 5 seconds, but 48/12tps = 4 seconds, and I don't think they get sub-50 move solutions without a skip. On Ruihang's 2.68 he didn't stop to recognize the WV, which would have saved him 3 moves and most likely a sub-2.6. It is little things like that which will hold them back. Not saying they aren't rapid, but they probably won't be too efficient in the near future in my opinion.

Yezhen Han did keyhole and several xcrosses on his AsR avg https://speedcubedb.com/r/5152. He is more efficient than Ruihang.

 

[CuberL]

Yezhen Han did keyhole and several xcrosses on his AsR avg https://speedcubedb.com/r/5152. He is more efficient than Ruihang.

I shouldn't have included his name there, I don't know much about his solving style, but I think that explains why he is faster.

 

[Cuberstache]

FMC:16(WCA regs don't let it go lower)

????
There have been sub-16 move optimal scrambles at official FMC competitions before

 

[BenChristman1]

I think I’m going to update my predictions, since some of these are pretty bad. (This was also my first post on the forums, so that’s awesome!)

Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
3x3: 2.85
2x2: 0.4
4x4: 13
5x5: 24
6x6: 45
7x7: 1:00
Blind: 12
FMC: 14
OH: 4.5
Feet: Will not be an event
Clock: Will not be an event
Mega: 23
Pyra: 0.8
Skewb: 0.8
Sq1: 4
4BLD: 1:15
5BLD: 2:30
MBLD: 67/70

New Events: None
Removed Events: Feet, Clock
Event Format Changes: IDK
Competitors in the WCA: IDK how many there are now
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2024
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): in U.S. dollars, $5,000

3x3: 2.5 / 4.5
2x2: 0.40 / 0.90
4x4: 13.xx / 18.xx
5x5: 28.xx / 32.xx
6x6: 59.xx / 1:05.xx
7x7: 1:25.xx / 1:35.xx
3BLD: 12.xx / 16.xx
FMC: 15 / 20.00
OH: 4.5 / 7.5
RIP feet
Clock: 2.3 / 3.3
Megaminx: 22.xx / 25.xx
Pyraminx: 0.80 / 1.3
Skewb: 0.85 / 1.8
Square-1: 3.9 / 5.8
4BLD: 55.xx / 59.xx
5BLD: 2:05.xx / 2:15.xx
MBLD: 70/72
FTO: 13.xx / 18.xx (I don’t know anything about FTO, so this might be a stupid guess)

New events: FTO
Removed events: None (besides feet)
Event format changes: Article Y will still be in the Regulations
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2024
3x3 prize at WC2029 in USD: $10,000

 

[stwert]

My prediction is there will be no comps in 2030 due to a global pandemic.

 

[cuberswoop]

My prediction is there will be no comps in 2030 due to a global pandemic.

The Omega Variant lol

 

[Cubing Forever]

OH: 4.5 / 7.5

this is more like a Jan 1 2024 prediction thanks to @UNO_FASY

 

[UNO_FASY]

OH would be like 3.xx/ 5.xx in 2030 tbh

 

[LBr]

prediction for average wrs 2030

2x2 - sub 1
3x3 - sub 4.5
4x4 - sub 18
5x5 - sub 37
6x6 - sub 1:15
7x7 - sub 1:45
oh - sub 8.5
pyra - sub 1.6
skewb - sub 1.7
clock - sub 3
mega - sub 27
3BLD - sub 15
4BLD - sub 1 min
5bld - sub 2:10
MBLD - 70+
sq1 - sub 5.5
FMC - sub 20.67

 

[LBr]

New Events: rescramble
Removed Events: clock
Event Format Changes: lower cutoffs, adaptation in running of bld/fmc
Competitors in the WCA: ~300,000
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2021
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value): $20000

 

[Megaminx lover]

Predictions for January 1st, 2030:
Section A
3x3: 2.3/4.9
2x2: 0.2/0.9
4x4: 14/16
5x5: 28/33
Blind: 12/17
OH: 4.5/5.5
Clock: 2/3
Mega: 23/27
Pyra: 0.4/1.3
Skewb: 0.6/1.5
Sq1: 3.5/5.5
4BLD: 50/55

Section B
6x6: 58/1.10
7x7: 1.30/1.35
5BLD: 2.10/2.20
MBLD: 165/170
FMC: 15/19.67

New Events: (Edit: A: Kilominx, Redi Cube, Master Pyraminx, Mirror blocks, FTO B: Curvy copter, 6BLD, 7BLD)
Removed Events: None
Event Format Changes: MBLD extended to 3 hours, Events split to section A (Main one) and B(Only used for worlds and some comps.
Competitors in the WCA: 200000
Year in WCA ID of WC2029 winner: 2023
3x3 prize at WC2029 (2019 value6): ???

 

[Cubing Forever]

Speed:
2x2: 0.3/0.5
3x3: low 2/4.1
4x4: 9/14
5x5: 23/30
6x6: 48/55
7x7: 1:10/1:25
OH: 3.5/5.8
Mega: 20/24
Pyra: 0.4/0.8
Skewb: same as pyra
Squan: 2.5/4.8
Clock: 1.7/2.5
Feet: 9/12
FTO: 8/12(if QiYi produces one)

BLD:
3x3: 7/12
4x4: 39/48
5x5: 1:10/1:18-1:22
Multi: 75/75 1:00.00(by Rowe/Graham in 2023, unbroken till 2030)

Other:
FMC: 12/18

WCA worlds 2029 winning average: 4.24
Winner's WCA ID: 2022KAVA01(lol imagine me winning worlds with Mehta)
Cash prize: $10000
New events: FTO, Feet

 

[CubeRed]

I wonder if cubing would be even more popular in the future or is it going to have a small but developed community. (I hope you get what I mean) It would be nice for it to become more popular in some countries.

 

[abunickabhi]

I wonder if cubing would be even more popular in the future or is it going to have a small but developed community. (I hope you get what I mean) It would be nice for it to become more popular in some countries.

Yes cubing still has to reach out to 90ish countries. Most of the northern Africa has had no official or even unofficial cube competition. There is a lot of scope for outreach once the pandemic ends.

 

[LukasCubes]

2x2: Sub-0.48
3x3: Sub-3
4x4: Sub-12
5x5: Sub-30
6x6: Sub-1
7x7: Sub-1:30
3OH: Sub-5
3BLD: Sub-12
MBLD: 69/70
FMC: 14
4BLD: ?
5BLD: Sub-2
Feet: NOOO
Clock: NOOOOOO
Mega: Sub-24
Pyra: Sub-0.7
Skewb: Sub-0.7
Sq1: Sub-4

Removed Events: Feet + Clock
New Events: Kilominx + FTO

 

[Dylan Swarts]

MBLD: 70/72

I would not be surprised if this was achieved next year. Quite possible. I'd not go any lower than 85 cubes subhour by 2030, possibly 90. Personal opinion as always.