Racing to sub-15

[mafergut]

Round 41
Ao12 = 11.50
Done with Sub-15, I probably had at least 8 T-Perms in this average

Wow! Congrats, you've improved like 1 second per week. You could now graduate sub-12 if somebody was running the thread I'm envious!

 

[JTWong71]

Wow! Congrats, you've improved like 1 second per week. You could now graduate sub-12 if somebody was running the thread I'm envious!

Thanks, although in this average, I think I got a Sub-12 Average mainly because of all of the T-Perms (I will usually get an R-Perm which I average around 2-3 second with).

 

[YTCuber]

Ao12: 15.18

12: 00:14.59 x
11: 00:15.26 x
10: 00:14.97 x
9: 00:20.54 x
8: 00:13.92 x
7: 00:15.38 x
6: 00:13.67 x
5: 00:11.57 x nonlucky
4: 00:16.49 x
3: 00:14.94 x
2: 00:15.89 x
1: 00:16.74 x

Cube: fangshi shuanren v2

 

[PurpleBanana]

I probably had at least 8 T-Perms in this average

I don't know if you realize how astronomically low the odds of that are

 

[JTWong71]

I don't know if you realize how astronomically low the odds of that are

If it is a little more realistic, it was around 5-6 of the 12.
Would it be 1/21 * 1/Number of T-Perms * 12 Solves?

 

[PurpleBanana]

If it is a little more realistic, it was around 5-6 of the 12.
Would it be 1/21 * 1/Number of T-Perms * 12 Solves?

The probability of 8 T perms would be about 1 in 30 million. The probability of 6 T perms would be about 1 in 50,000.

 

[JTWong71]

The probability of 8 T perms would be about 1 in 30 million. The probability of 6 T perms would be about 1 in 50,000.

Is that for 8/6 Consecutive Solve, or for out of 12?

 

[PurpleBanana]

Is that for 8/6 Consecutive Solve, or for out of 12?

Out of 12.

The odds of 8 consecutive T perms is 1 in 12 billion.

 

[mjm]

Out of 12.

The odds of 8 consecutive T perms is 1 in 12 billion.

Could you link me somewhere for the way to figure out the probability of an event occurring x times in y trials?

 

[PurpleBanana]

Could you link me somewhere for the way to figure out the probability of an event occurring x times in y trials?

It's called a Bernoulli experiment.

 

[mjm]

It's called a Bernoulli experiment.

That's right. Thanks! Next time, this can go in the probability thread, my bad.

 

[PurpleBanana]

That's right. Thanks! Next time, this can go in the probability thread, my bad.

Actually, we should all stop cluttering this thread with a probability discussion. Sorry to the sub-15 racers, carry on.

 

[Knut]

Round 41
Roux, Gans 356S

Generated By csTimer on 2016-4-16
avg of 12: 15.61

Time List:
1. 17.09 R2 F2 D' B2 F2 D' L2 B2 R2 F2 U2 L B2 D' F' R F' R2 F R2
2. 13.80 D2 L D2 L U2 B2 R F2 D2 L' F2 D' B U' F U2 B F2 D' L2 B
3. 16.70 U L2 F' U D2 R F' L' B U D B2 D F2 D L2 D' R2 F2 U2 R
4. 15.84 L' U R2 D2 R2 B2 F2 U' F2 U' L2 B2 F D' L B' U' F' D' L2
5. 16.43 D U' L2 D' B2 U2 B2 R2 B2 R2 U B L2 R F2 D' B2 F L2 B' R'
6. 14.45 B2 D R2 B2 U' F2 D U2 L2 U' F2 B' L' B' F D2 B2 R' U B2 L2
7. (18.17) B2 U L2 D L2 D' R2 D' L2 U2 F R B L2 D L' F' R2 D2 R
8. 16.29 U R' L F2 U R' B' U F2 R2 L U2 R F2 R D2 B2 L'
9. 13.81 F2 D B' U2 B' R' U D' L U2 F' R2 L2 F R2 B2 U2 F' U2 F' U'
10. (13.03) U F' U2 R U2 B L' D F2 L' U' R2 U' F2 R2 U F2 D' B2 L2 D2
11. 16.66 U2 B2 R B2 D2 R2 U2 F2 L R D B' L' R B2 F' D' B2 L' R' U'
12. 15.03 B2 U R2 F2 U B2 F2 L2 U L2 U2 F' D U B' R B2 L2 B2 L'

 

[Forcefulness]

r41
avg of 12: 15.991

Time List:
15.810, 15.945, 17.521, 14.712, (12.745), 15.560, 14.791, (18.248), 13.936, 17.121, 17.880, 16.633
meme

 

[Ordway Persyn]

R41 (Aolong v2, CFOP)
Generated By csTimer on 2016-4-16
avg of 12: 14.019

Time List:
(12.705), (17.837), 14.092, 12.950, 14.022, 12.971, 13.721, 14.858, 14.372, 14.374, 13.802, 15.030

That was good.

 

[pyr14]

r41

Generated By csTimer on 2016-4-18
avg of 12: 18.64

Time List:
1. 20.83 L B U' R' B L U' R l r' b u'
2. 17.42 R' U B R' L' R' B' L l' r' b'
3. 17.76 U' L' B' U L' U' R B' R' l' r u
4. (17.05) U' R U' R' U' R' U' L l' r' b' u'
5. 19.95 B' L U L U B' L B r b' u'
6. (DNF(0.03)) U L R' U R' U' R' B' U R' b
7. 18.22+ R L' R' U' L R' L' R' l b u'
8. 18.81 U L B' U R' L U R U l r' b u
9. 18.38 U' L R' L B U' R U L' l r' u
10. 17.60 U' R U R B' L' U' L' r'
11. 17.10 U' L' U R' B L' U' L' r b' u'
12. 20.27 B L R' L U B' R U l' r u'

 

[Acmoorecuber]

Average of 12: 15.14
1. 16.07 B2 R2 D2 U2 L' B2 D2 U2 L2 D2 R D' F D2 B2 R2 D B F' L' U2
2. 15.31 B D2 F2 L2 B F2 R2 F L2 D2 L' U F L2 R' U' B R U B F2
3. 13.77 D' F2 U2 F2 D' B2 R2 U B2 U2 L B R2 F U2 R' U2 B2 D L U
4. (12.29) R2 B L2 R2 B2 R2 D2 R2 F' D2 F U' B' U' L' B' U' L2 B' D R
5. 14.94 L2 F2 D2 F2 R2 D2 L F2 L B2 R2 B' U L' F2 L2 B2 U R F R'
6. 15.79 L' U' B2 U2 D L F D' B' R2 D' L2 B2 R2 U L2 U' F2 U R2
7. (17.23) U2 R2 L' F R' F2 U' B' L' B U2 R2 F U2 B' L2 B L2 F U2
8. 17.00 L2 D2 B2 U2 B2 L2 D2 B' L2 B F' U F2 D' B L2 U2 R U B2 R'
9. 14.87 R2 U B2 R2 U B2 D' R2 U' B2 F2 L B F' U F' D U2 R' F2 D'
10. 16.55 D B' L2 B R U F2 L' U' R2 U2 R' B2 R D2 L2 B2 R U2 R2
11. 13.89 R2 U' B2 U2 R2 B2 U2 R2 U2 L2 U R' U L' D' F2 D2 B2 F' L' F'
12. 13.17 U2 L F2 L2 B2 F2 U2 B2 F2 L' D F2 U' B L' U R U2 B' U'
Dang it! those two 17's totally screwed up my average!

 

[mafergut]

Round 41 - Race to sub 15
Cube: Moyu Tanglong
Method: CFOP dual CN (white/yellow)

Generated By csTimer on 2016-4-22
avg of 12: 18.65 (0/3)

Time List:
18.29, 17.70, 18.89, (13.94), 18.04, 20.41, (22.25), 18.83, 17.81, 18.75, 17.00, 20.70

Not a bad average for me but, of course, still sooo far from sub-15. But, hey! at least a sub-15 single in there. I just realized that last week I didn't even post my average, but it had two DNFs so, I think it was better that way

Anybody else want to compete this week before I post the scrambles for round 42? I usually do it on Saturday mornings but now I have some spare time so, last call for Round 41!!!

 

[Acmoorecuber]

Wait a sec my cousin is abt to do one

 

[Acmoorecuber]

Nvm he don't want to lol