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Oh! I forgot to post this a couple weeks ago. I just wanted to know what's the probability of getting a LL skip on a kibiminx because I actually got one.

Oh! I forgot to post this a couple weeks ago. I just wanted to know what's the probability of getting a LL skip on a kibiminx because I actually got one.

(i) Please don't reply to nine-year-old posts unless it's absolutely relevant and necessary.

(ii) This is almost correct, but it doesn't account for scrambles with multiple crosses already solved… or it would be, if you actually calculated your approximation correctly. Your calculation is off by a factor of two and you should've gotten 1/31680.

Just got 6 center skips in 7 consecutive Master pyraminx solves. Each happens with 1/12 probability, so one should expect to see 6 or more out of 7 consecutive solves 78 times out of 12^7 solves, or roughly once every 459382 solves. Not quite as extraordinary as my accidental XXcross on megaminx, but quite rare.