Safe/unsafe WRs

[XTowncuber]

Pyraminx single

okso I have done sup 7 TPS in comp at least twice that I know of. 7 TPS*1.35 seconds= about 9.5 moves, which is also not that uncommon. With say a 7 move scramble, only 5.2 TPS is required. Pyra single will be broken again in the next 1-2 years. Maybe not immediately, but someone will get it.

 

[Sajwo]

From Least to Most Safe

1. 5BLD
1. 4BLD
Skewb Single
1. Pyra Average
Clock Average
7x7 Average
3BLD Single
3BLD Mean
Feet Average
1. 2x2 Average
7x7 Single
5x5 Average
3x3 Single
FMC Average
Pyraminx single
OH Single
OH Average
Clock Single
Feet Single
4x4 Average
3x3 Single
5x5 Single
2x2 Single
6x6 Single
6x6 Average
MBLD
4x4 Single
FMC Single
Mega Average
Mega Single
Sq1 average
Sq1 Single
Skewb average
3x3 Average

I've changed the order a little bit

Bolded are already beaten WRs

 

[CHJ]

I've changed the order a little bit

surely mega should be less safe, yu da hyun hasn't been to a comp in a while

 

[antoineccantin]

I wouldn't have thought that. Kaleta isn't the best in the world at it, and an 11 second AO5 isn't that amazing. The next 14 results are all sub 13 and none of those 14 results are Przemyslaw. Antoine and Michal and Feliks could all break that.

IMO Przemyslaw might actually be the fastest in the world right now. Michal has gotten slower, me too and Feliks a little as well.

Przemysław can break it as well, but with bigger probability. He's averaging at home ~12. Have you seen Antoine's results on Facebook? He's barely sub14. Michał won't get WR average (I would say that he's more capable of WR single, he's getting 8s quite often). Don't know how fast is Feliks at home :rolleyes:

You saw my OH note? Did you see that my last avg100 was 13.25?
But yeah, you're probably right about most of this. I am practicing though, and hope to be in contention again soon.

surely mega should be less safe, yu da hyun hasn't been to a comp in a while

That doesn't mean me she'll have one soon :rolleyes:

Other than her, I think it's quite safe. I don't think Simon, Balint, Oscar or Chris have been practicing all the much recently. Louis isn't averaging anywhere near that either, so I highly doubt he'd be able to beat it again. I actually wouldn't be surprised if Sydney would get the next megaminx WR, she's improving quite fast and has lots of steam.

 

[IRNjuggle28]

IMO Przemyslaw might actually be the fastest in the world right now. Michal has gotten slower, me too and Feliks a little as well.

I'm sure you know people's OH stats better than me, but you and Feliks both just got low 12 averages in US nats... neither of you can be that far away from it, can you?

 

[MirzaCubing]

okso I have done sup 7 TPS in comp at least twice that I know of. 7 TPS*1.35 seconds= about 9.5 moves, which is also not that uncommon. With say a 7 move scramble, only 5.2 TPS is required. Pyra single will be broken again in the next 1-2 years. Maybe not immediately, but someone will get it.

I mostly based my predications on what is safe/unsafe for the rest of the year. But you could prove that prediction wrong this weekend

 

[Dene]

I see a lot of people say this, but honestly I don't agree. There's a possibility that it will never be broken, but there's also the possibility that it will be broken this weekend.

I don't think so... Even with a four move scramble, someone has to execute it perfectly to even have a chance. I think you're underestimating just how quick 0.69s is. It's hard enough to pick a puzzle up and execute 4 moves in that time even at home...

 

[TimMc]

Skewb (average) if it gets cancelled like Magic, but it won't because 2x2...

EDIT: It'll get broken because lol-scrambles will happen and some cubers get faster and faster. Imagine how fast people will be at Skewb in 30 years, like 3x3, if it lasts that long.

 

[blade740]

Except since the move to random state, lolscrambles are much more unlikely. I had a 4.xx lolscramble in 1200 solves, but that was the only one, and it was significantly less easy than lolscrambles used to be (my solution was 11 twists, which turned out to be optimal).

It's not a matter of if, but when. There are easily 20 people today who could get WR single on the right scramble, if not more. Amazing scrambles are less common than they used to be, but they still exist with random-state scrambles, and one will pop up in the right place at the right time eventually. I wouldn't call that "safe".

 

[antoineccantin]

I'm sure you know people's OH stats better than me, but you and Feliks both just got low 12 averages in US nats... neither of you can be that far away from it, can you?

They were both really good averages.
I also take back what I said about Michal being slow. He just got 11.27 UWR avg12...

 

[Carrot]

IMO Przemyslaw might actually be the fastest in the world right now. Michal has gotten slower, me too and Feliks a little as well.



You saw my OH note? Did you see that my last avg100 was 13.25?
But yeah, you're probably right about most of this. I am practicing though, and hope to be in contention again soon.



That doesn't mean me she'll have one soon :rolleyes:

Other than her, I think it's quite safe. I don't think Simon, Balint, Oscar or Chris have been practicing all the much recently. Louis isn't averaging anywhere near that either, so I highly doubt he'd be able to beat it again. I actually wouldn't be surprised if Sydney would get the next megaminx WR, she's improving quite fast and has lots of steam.

Hey hey hey! I will personally make sure that Sydney is never in the game for mega WR

 

[Dene]

And the winner is... 5bld!

 

[antoineccantin]

And the winner is... 5bld!

I think 4BLD was a little before.

 

[Divineskulls]

Hey hey hey! I will personally make sure that Sydney is never in the game for mega WR

I won't even let Sydney get faster than me, I'll practice more.

 

[yoinneroid]

I think 4BLD was a little before.

but previous 4bld is ollie as well

 

[CriticalCubing]

Safe: 333 WR, 2x2 WR and 5x5 WR Skewb WR
Unsafe: 5BLD 4BLD Pyraminx

 

[Sajwo]

I think 4BLD was a little before.

It was the same day.. 5BLD WR has been more improved than 4BLD WR (4.90% vs. 3.58%) which means that 4BLD WR was actually safer than 5BLD WR

 

[Ollie]

It was the same day.. 5BLD WR has been more improved than 4BLD WR (4.90% vs. 3.58%) which means that 4BLD WR was actually safer than 5BLD WR

define safe

 

[TDM]

define safe

There's a definition in the op

 

[Ollie]

There's a definition in the op

which has nothing to do with the statistic (which was my point )

If Multi BLD and Pyraminx are both beaten by 1% on the same day, it tells you nothing about how 'safe' the world records were prior.