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World Championships 2013 - Predictions

EMI

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it think
2x2 cris olsen cris FTW
3x3 feliks zemdegs
4x4 feliks zemdegs ( I believe u can do sub 30 average plzzzz u can do it)
5x5 ( like who else can win lol)
6x6 Michal halczuk
7x7 bence barret
pyra ODDER
megaminx ODDER sub WR gogogogo
OH michals pleskowicz
FMC Sebastian aroux
3-4-5 multi bld MARCEL ENDREY.

You should definately learn how to correctly write their names...
 

cubenut99

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2x2x2: Chris Olson ,USA
3x3x3: Cornelius Dieckmann ,Germany
4x4x4: Feliks Zemdegs ,Australia
5x5x5: Feliks Zemdegs ,Australia
6x6x6: Kevin Hays ,USA
7x7x7: Bence Barát , Hungary
BLD: Zane Carney ,Australia
MultiBLD: Corey Sakowski ,USA
OH: Phil Yu ,USA
 

kinch2002

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Odder, your scoring system makes no sense. (10-P^2)*(S)

Predict 1st place and they win. You get (10-1)*(1) = 9 points
Predict 2nd place and they come second. You get (10-4)*(2) = 12 points

You can also get massive negative points
 

Carrot

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Odder, your scoring system makes no sense. (10-P^2)*(S)

Predict 1st place and they win. You get (10-1)*(1) = 9 points
Predict 2nd place and they come second. You get (10-4)*(2) = 12 points

You can also get massive negative points

I was tired x'D I was trying to make a system that makes 2nd not be more points worth than 1st XP but still giving seedings lots of points, I'll correct it :D and yes, minus points are good :3

(13/3-(P+P/3))*((S+7)/8) new points system that should fix your problem and taking both seeding and position into account.

Predict 1st place and they win: (13/3-(1+1/3))*((1+7)/8)=3
Predict 2nd place and they win: (13/3-(1+1/3))*((2+7)/8)=3.38

predict 1st place then get second: (13/3-(2+2/3))*((1+7)/8)=1.67
Predict 2nd place and they get second: (13/3-(2+2/3))*((2+7)/8)=1.88


given that 2nd seeded has 33.33% of winning and 1st seeded has 50% the expected win per guess for a first seeded is: (3+1.67)/2=2.335, the same for second seeded: 2.38 (given that they can only rank 1st and 2nd, but since that 2nd seeded of course should have bigger chance positioning out of top 2 I see no unfair play anymore :)
 
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Carrot

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Just wanted to say that 29 people already used the spreadsheet :) We need something for the winners! i guess this thread can be used for predictions not related to OP, like top 3's or crazy results or qualifications for finals and stuff like that, all crazy stuff.
 
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BaconCuber

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Jan 29, 2013
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2x2: Christopher Olson (You can do it!)
3x3: Mats Valk
4x4: Sebastian Weyer
5x5: Kevin Hays
6x6: Kevin Hays
7x7: Bence Barat
 

Dacuba

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2: Olson (2.11)
3: Feliks (7.47)
4: Mats (31.19)
5: Feliks (58.82)
6: Hays (1:56.09)
7: Bence (3:09:10)
OH: Michal (13:00)
BLD: Marcell (Sub 25 WR)

If they all occour exaclty like that, I'll personally make a photo of myself next to a lama with a pink hat
 
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