Structure of the short solutions for the scramble matter MUCH more than the move count of absolute optimal solution.
I understand what you are saying and why you are saying it, and why Lucas said "I don't think we know right now whether basing this purely on the optimal solution move count is intrinsically guaranteed to solve more problems than it could cause". From your (method-dependent) point of view it makes sence, while I am operating on a method-independent point of view, hence the differences. As soon as "more fair" scrambles/rankings solution is introduced (if ever), I will be happy.
Say we have competitors A and B. Both are top level FMC solvers and thus use the before described method of DR/HTR. A goes to a competition X and B goes to competition Y. Both get an 18 move optimal scramble. The scramble A got has an optimal solution that is very easy to find with the method that EVERY SINGLE top level competitor uses. B gets a scramble where only 18 and 19 move solutions are practically impossible for any human to find. How is that fair in your opinion?
My opinion: they both had an 18 optimal moves scramble, they both could theoretically find an 18 moves solution. Just because EVERY SINGLE top level FMC-er doesn´t find an 18 or 19 moves solution doesn´t mean a total FMC beginner can´t find it too. Granted, chances are small, but they exist nonetheless in this scenario.
Of course, I would be happy to hear any "more fair" proposals than I made because I am not saying my proposals are the best ones we can come up with (I just made proposals which are fixing the issue from my point of view).
