brunson
Veteran
I could be wrong about it, but this is how I think about it. It could be tested if we had a perfect solver and a tremendous amount of time.
But imagine it this way: Say you are at a position with an optimal solution of 16 moves. If you make one turn at random, are you likely to be closer or further away from solved? Repeat that exercise indefinitely and I think you're probably find you migrate around the positions with solutions of about 14 to 17 moves. Maybe it's more the case of there just being so many more positions that are 16 moves away from solved than there are solved positions.
Though, upon reflection, you may be able to make the case that any given position is as arbitrary as the solved state. I could very well be wrong about the whole thing.
Edit: Actually, I think my comparison to the Random Walk could show that I'm wrong about it. Consider moving through the graph as a constrained random walk where you travel a fixed distance in each iteration, but are constrained to making turns in increments of 10 degrees. Your distance from the starting point should still be Gaussian. I will have to think more about it on my drive home.
But imagine it this way: Say you are at a position with an optimal solution of 16 moves. If you make one turn at random, are you likely to be closer or further away from solved? Repeat that exercise indefinitely and I think you're probably find you migrate around the positions with solutions of about 14 to 17 moves. Maybe it's more the case of there just being so many more positions that are 16 moves away from solved than there are solved positions.
Though, upon reflection, you may be able to make the case that any given position is as arbitrary as the solved state. I could very well be wrong about the whole thing.
Edit: Actually, I think my comparison to the Random Walk could show that I'm wrong about it. Consider moving through the graph as a constrained random walk where you travel a fixed distance in each iteration, but are constrained to making turns in increments of 10 degrees. Your distance from the starting point should still be Gaussian. I will have to think more about it on my drive home.
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