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LL-Skip in competition

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I had a single OLL skip today but I don't even know if it counts because i used one of the like 5 zbf2l algs I know.. so I don't know the probability of the corners coming up oriented when you purposefully orient the edges other than that I may have had 1 pll skip in the past week or two...
 
Explanation: first 4! comes from EP, second 4! comes from CP, 3^3 comes from CO and it's divided by 2 because odd permutations are not possible.

If you multiply it by 8 (or 2^3), you get the probability for complete LL-skip (also works for OLL-skip, 27*8 = 216).
 
a week ago i had 4 pll and 2 oll skips in about 50. the 1 pll skip was my new rekord (13.97) and i got 25.xx nearly every solve with a skip that day. with sucks because i'm averaging about sub 21 to 20 :l
So what's the chance of getting 2 oll and 4 pll skips in 50 solves ?
 
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So what's the chance of getting 2 oll and 4 pll skips in 50 solves ?

(1/216)^2 * (215/216)^48 * 50!/(2! * 48!) * (1/72)^4 * (71/72)^46 * 48!/(4! * 44!)
Correct me if wrong.

EDIT: I didn't take in account that the OLL and PLL skips happened in different solves (so no LL skips). Fixed now.
 
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Anybody had got a last layer skip in a oficial competition???

Milán Baticz austrian open 4x4 - 42.xy
István Kocza wc2011 3x3 - 14.xy
Gunnar Krig fungslangspark (or something similar) open 2009 7x7 - 7:xy
Tuan Nghia Duong french open 2010 3x3 - 9.31
and these are only the comps i've been to
 
Just got a PB in OH with a complete last layer skip.

D L2 U' F2 U R2 U' F2 D2 R2 L2 F R F L U2 B D2 B2 R' L U2 20.51 OH single
Y' inspection
L2 U' R' F Y' F' L F D2 cross
Y' U' R U R' U2 Z U' R' U Z' f2l 1
R U2 R' U' R U R' U R U' R' f2l 2
d2 U R U' R' Y' EO
U' R' U R U R' U2 R U R U' R' U' f2l 3/4
LL SKIP
Chances of this happening?
EDIT: Sorry i didnt look throught the thread. 1/72 * 1/216 = 1/15552
 
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Just got a PB in OH with a complete last layer skip.

D L2 U' F2 U R2 U' F2 D2 R2 L2 F R F L U2 B D2 B2 R' L U2 20.51 OH single
Y' inspection
L2 U' R' F Y' F' L F D2 cross
Y' U' R U R' U2 Z U' R' U Z' f2l 1
R U2 R' U' R U R' U R U' R' f2l 2
d2 U R U' R' Y' EO
U' R' U R U R' U2 R U R U' R' U' f2l 3/4
LL SKIP
Chances of this happening?

1/72 * 1/216 = 1/15552

Read the thread sir.
 
I remember there was someone who averaged ~20 and got a sub10 LL skip single in his first competition. I can't find the video (he posted it here somewhere), and I only remember that the competition was somewhere in Europe last year.
 
I remember there was someone who averaged ~20 and got a sub10 LL skip single in his first competition. I can't find the video (he posted it here somewhere), and I only remember that the competition was somewhere in Europe last year.

 
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