444 avg WR - 41.29 Erik Akkersdijk

[hawkmp4]

shouldnt it be 100% after 64 rounds?

No.
If you flip a coin twice, are you guaranteed to get a heads?

 

[scylla]

shouldnt it be 100% after 64 rounds?

that's (I guess) the expected value not the probability

a probability of 100% can only be reach in the limit

 

[aronpm]

shouldnt it be 100% after 64 rounds?

lmfao that's not how probability works

 

[vcuber13]

shouldnt it be 100% after 64 rounds?

No.
If you flip a coin twice, are you guaranteed to get a heads?

shouldnt it be 100% after 64 rounds?

that's (I guess) the expected value not the probability

a probability of 100% can only be reach in the limit

shouldnt it be 100% after 64 rounds?

lmfao that's not how probability works

lol i wasnt think prbability, but in theory it would right?

 

[Toad]

shouldnt it be 100% after 64 rounds?

[10:47pm] <Toad> I always count my 3x3 solves in bunches of 72
[10:47pm] <Toad> if I have 71 in a row without a PLL skip I then wait til a comp before I solve a 3x3 again
[10:48pm] <Kirjava> I lol'd irl
[10:48pm] <Toad> :3

 

[Stefan]

shouldnt it be 100% after 64 rounds?

Yeah, and over 100% after 65 rounds.

 

[hawkmp4]

lol i wasnt think prbability, but in theory it would right?

Probability IS theory. 1-(63/64)^64=.635

 

[scylla]

Originally Posted by vcuber13
lol i wasnt think prbability, but in theory it would right?

Probability IS theory. 1-(63/64)^64=.635

__________________

awesome, its 64% at 64 rounds !!! (feel like a nerd now)


anyway, Erik grats!

 

[PhillipEspinoza]

Ya it has gotten off topic rather quickly. I say we drop that subject and carry it on elsewhere.

Congrats to Erik on an amazing 4x4 avg WR! Can't wait for the video (if there is one).

 

[Joker]

Lol guys, you know what he means.
That's how it would work if all the laws of the universe where written in stone, but they aren't.
EDIT
I agree with the post above mine.

 

[Aksel B]

Congratulations, Erik!
Let's keep the off-topic discussion out of here

 

[hawkmp4]

Lol guys, you know what he means.
That's how it would work if all the laws of the universe where written in stone, but they aren't.
EDIT
I agree with the post above mine.

Yeah, we know what he meant. He was just wrong.

Congrats to Erik! I didn't think you were done, for what it's worth.

 

[cmhardw]

Congrats to Erik for this great WR! It's exciting to see so many records being broken recently!

Chris

 

[Lucas Garron]

Just wait for faz to get four 4x4 solves without parity error in a comp.
then, BAAAM! new avg WR !

Getting 4 parity free solves in an average of 5 for 4x4 is pretty unlikely.

18.75% is unlikely?

On the other hand, shouldn't it be a four-way coin?
On the other other hand, there's usually more than one round in a competition.

I have no idea how to ask WA this...

I have some ideas, but I'm too lazy. (Also, sorry, I was somehow in "OLL parity is the actual bad one" mode.)

CDF[BinomialDistribution[5, 0.25], 5] - CDF[BinomialDistribution[5, 0.25], 3]

is 1/64. Still decently likely to happen a few times at a large competition.

 

[Zubon]

Just last night I was looking at the WCA rankings page and saw Erik's magnificent performance at the Alania Open in June which made the think that this "grandpa" is not quite finished yet.

Congratulations Erik!

 

[bigbee99]

Congrats, I can't wait to see the video!

 

[Lucas]

Originally Posted by vcuber13
lol i wasnt think prbability, but in theory it would right?

Probability IS theory. 1-(63/64)^64=.635

__________________

awesome, its 64% at 64 rounds !!! (feel like a nerd now)


anyway, Erik grats!

That's because 0.64 is near a special number:

1 / (1 - 0.635) = 2.7397 (almost "e"; of course that's not coincidence)

 

[That70sShowDude]

YEA ERIK!
Congrats

 

[eastamazonantidote]

Insane. Congrats Erik!!!

 

[hawkmp4]

\

That's because 0.64 is near a special number:

1 / (1 - 0.635) = 2.7397 (almost "e"; of course that's not coincidence)

Oh really?