World Championships 2013 - Predictions

Antonie faz fan said:
it think
2x2 cris olsen cris FTW
3x3 feliks zemdegs
4x4 feliks zemdegs ( I believe u can do sub 30 average plzzzz u can do it)
5x5 ( like who else can win lol)
6x6 Michal halczuk
7x7 bence barret
pyra ODDER
megaminx ODDER sub WR gogogogo
OH michals pleskowicz
FMC Sebastian aroux
3-4-5 multi bld MARCEL ENDREY.
Click to expand...

You should definately learn how to correctly write their names...
 
2x2x2: Chris Olson ,USA
3x3x3: Cornelius Dieckmann ,Germany
4x4x4: Feliks Zemdegs ,Australia
5x5x5: Feliks Zemdegs ,Australia
6x6x6: Kevin Hays ,USA
7x7x7: Bence Barát , Hungary
BLD: Zane Carney ,Australia
MultiBLD: Corey Sakowski ,USA
OH: Phil Yu ,USA
 
Odder, your scoring system makes no sense. (10-P^2)*(S)

Predict 1st place and they win. You get (10-1)*(1) = 9 points
Predict 2nd place and they come second. You get (10-4)*(2) = 12 points

You can also get massive negative points
 
kinch2002 said:
Odder, your scoring system makes no sense. (10-P^2)*(S)

Predict 1st place and they win. You get (10-1)*(1) = 9 points
Predict 2nd place and they come second. You get (10-4)*(2) = 12 points

You can also get massive negative points
Click to expand...

I was tired x'D I was trying to make a system that makes 2nd not be more points worth than 1st XP but still giving seedings lots of points, I'll correct it :D and yes, minus points are good :3

(13/3-(P+P/3))*((S+7)/8) new points system that should fix your problem and taking both seeding and position into account.

Predict 1st place and they win: (13/3-(1+1/3))*((1+7)/8)=3
Predict 2nd place and they win: (13/3-(1+1/3))*((2+7)/8)=3.38

predict 1st place then get second: (13/3-(2+2/3))*((1+7)/8)=1.67
Predict 2nd place and they get second: (13/3-(2+2/3))*((2+7)/8)=1.88


given that 2nd seeded has 33.33% of winning and 1st seeded has 50% the expected win per guess for a first seeded is: (3+1.67)/2=2.335, the same for second seeded: 2.38 (given that they can only rank 1st and 2nd, but since that 2nd seeded of course should have bigger chance positioning out of top 2 I see no unfair play anymore :)
 
Last edited:
Just wanted to say that 29 people already used the spreadsheet :) We need something for the winners! i guess this thread can be used for predictions not related to OP, like top 3's or crazy results or qualifications for finals and stuff like that, all crazy stuff.
 
Last edited:
2x2: Christopher Olson (You can do it!)
3x3: Mats Valk
4x4: Sebastian Weyer
5x5: Kevin Hays
6x6: Kevin Hays
7x7: Bence Barat
 
PeelingStickers said:
2: Olson (2.11)
3: Feliks (7.47)
4: Mats (31.19)
5: Feliks (58.82)
6: Hays (1:56.09)
7: Bence (3:09:10)
OH: Michal (13:00)
BLD: Marcell (Sub 25 WR)
Click to expand...

If they all occour exaclty like that, I'll personally make a photo of myself next to a lama with a pink hat
 
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