Predictions For 2012 Cubing

[PhillipEspinoza]

Since a new year is around the corner, and since cubing is always progressing at astonishing almost exponential rates, I wanted to hear your predictions for Records that will be broken next year. What do you think times will look like for the difference WCA events? What about cubing statistics? How many more competitors will the WCA see? It's always cool to do these and look back and see who was the closest and who was way off and by how much. An example from last year:

Rhanza also made these predictions:

2x2: 0.77 single by Rowe, 1.86 average by Faz.
3x3: 6.32 single by Faz, 7.49 average by Faz.
4x4: 25.98 single by Faz, 30.93 average by Faz.
5x5: 55.68 single by Syuhei, 1:02.91 average by Faz.
OH: 9.68 single by Piti Pichedpan, 14.04 average by Faz.
BLD: 26.84 single by GAOC.
Megaminx: 43.91 by Bodor Bálint, and some megafast(er) average by him.
6x6: 2:04.61 by Michal Halczuk, 2:19.63 average by Michal Halczuk.
Magic: 0.68 single by Yuxuan Wang, 0.75 average by Yuzuan Wang.
4BLD: 4:15.68 by Ville Seppänen.
5BLD: 9:20.84 by Ville Seppänen.
MBLD: 20/20 59:59 by Iril.
Skewb: 3.40 single by Meep, 5.79 average by Andrew Kang (loljk).

Let's hear your predictions for 2012!

My predictions for 2012:

2x2: 0.68 single, 0.99 avg
3x3: 4.21 single, 6.89 avg
4x4: 27.27 single, 32.32 avg
5x5: 49.94 single, 57.04 avg
6x6: 1:34.04 single, 1:45.04 avg

OH: 7.65 single, 11.50 avg
BLD: 19.89 single, 29.46 avg
Megaminx: 39.88 single, 41.43 avg
Feet: 19.20 single, 20.34 avg

 

[MostEd]

the biggest thing to happen would be sub30 4x4 nothing much

 

[Akash Rupela]

2x2, average 1.75
3x3, single 4.78, average 6.59
4x4, single 28.24
5x5, single 52.35, average 57.23
6x6, single 1.40, average 1.50
OH, average 11.55
(whats the BLD avg doing there?

 

[cubelover111]

sub 5 3x3 single

 

[Pro94]

2x2 single: -
2x2 avg: sub 2.00
3x3 single: 5.30
3x3 avg: 7.10
4x4 single: sub27
4x4 avg: 32.xx
5x5 single: 49.xx
5x5 avg: 55.xx
6x6 single: sub 1:42
6x6 mean: sub 1:50
7x7 single: 2:58.xx
7x7 mean: 3:10.xx
3x3 OH single: 8.50
3x3 OH avg: 12.10
3x3 BLD: 27.xx
3x3 FM: -
3x3 WF single: 28.xx
3x3 WF mean: 33.xx
Megaminx single: 39.xx
Megaminx avg: 45.xx
Pyraminx single: -
Pyraminx avg: 3.20
Square-1 single: -
Square-1 avg: 10.xx
Clock single: sub 5
Clock avg: 6.30
Magic single: 0.66
Magic avg: 0.74
Master Magic single: -
Master Magic avg: -
4x4 BLD: sub 3
5x5 BLD: sub 8
Multi BLD: 25 points

(If skewb will be added)
Skewb single: 3.10
Skewb avg: 5.xx

 

[Carrot]

Odder will ragequit megaminx...
pyra avg WR goes sub 3 some noob steals Oka's single WR with super easy scramble

 

[gyc6001]

all feliks except square-1 x)

 

[Penguino138]

I feel as if only the larger and more complex puzzles will be broken because there's a lot more room to break a WR than say Felik's 5.66. But here's mine:

2x2 single: .69 (remains the same)
2x2 avg: 2.02 RTCAcameron
3x3 single: 5.66 (remains the same)
3x3 avg: 7.58 Feliks
4x4 single: 29.08 Feliks, Giovanni Contardi, or Matts Valk (But I cheer for Feliks)
4x4 avg: 34.64 Feliks
5x5 single: 54.38 Feliks or Yu Nakajima
5x5 avg: 58.98 Feliks
6x6 single: 1:48.64 Kevin Hays (sorry Feliks )
6x6 mean: 1:58.90 Kevin Hays
7x7 single: 3:04.72 Michał Halczuk
7x7 mean: 3:18.54 Michał Halczuk
3x3 OH single: 9.22 Michał Pleskowicz
3x3 OH avg: 12.11 Feliks or Piti Pichedpan
3x3 BLD: 26.81 Aronpm
Pyraminx single: .98 ODDER FTW!
Pyraminx avg: 3.19 ODDER FTW!
4x4 BLD: 2:19.87 Daniel Sheppard
5x5 BLD: 5:54.90 Zane Carney
Multi BLD: 30/32 Zane Carney

 

[Ágoston Török]

3x3 - 5.66 remains
OH singe 8.99, avg 12.12
4x4 single 27.52, avg 33.28 by FAZ
BLD - 26.32 by Marcell Endrey

 

[rubikmaster]

2x2 average: sub-2
3x3 average: sub-7.5
4x4 single: sub-30 average: sub-35
6x6 average: sub-2:00
3x3 Blindfold: sub-30
3x3 Multi-Blindfold: 24/25 cubes

 

[Kirjava]

I don't think 2012 will be as crazy as 2011 or 2010.

 

[yoinneroid]

those non-cubic puzzle will get crazier WR times
how about the hardware stuff? looking forward for some reverse cutting bigcubes?

 

[rubiksarlen]

those non-cubic puzzle will get crazier WR times
how about the hardware stuff? looking forward for some reverse cutting bigcubes?

big cubes that can corner-cut well are quite rare...

 

[BlueDevil]

@OP, how is someone supposed to get a .99 2x2 average? Half the people to even get a time under 1 sec got an scramble. No way that someone gets 4 easy scrambles – After all, a human can only take his hands off the timer, pick up a cube, and put his hands back so fast, let alone actually solve the cube in the process.
Otherwise, your predictions seem mostly reasonable.

I see that no record will be truly 'smashed', but that many will just barely beat out their 2011 predecessor

 

[ben1996123]

Event: Single/average
2x2: 0.69 unless <4 move scramble/1.9x
3x3: 5.66/7.2x
4x4: 28.xx/33.xx
5x5: 54.xx/59.94
6x6: 1:40.xx/1:48.xx
7x7: 3:07.xx/3:1x.xx
OH: 9.1x/11.xx
BLD: 25.xx
4BLD: 2:xx.xx
5BLD: 9:2x.xx
MultiBLD: 25/>25
Magic: 0.68/0.75
MasterMagic: 1.68/1.75
Pyraminx: 1.93/2.72 because e
Feet: lol/lol
FMC: 22
Sq1: 8.3x/10.5x
Megaminx: 40.xx/46.xx
Clock: 5.4x/6.9x

 

[JackJ]

OH single: sub 9
4x4 single: sub 29
2x2 avg: Sub 2.12 (NOT SUB 2)

 

[Alcuber]

Single/Average

2x2: 0.69/1.82
3x3: 5.44/7.33
4x4: 27.88/32.91
5x5: 52.18/57.71
6x6: 1:46.54/1:53.95
7x7: 3:07.68/3:19.21
3BLD: 28.97
OH: 9.53/12.73
FMC: 22
Feet: 30.15/33.89
Megaminx: 41.44/45.82
Pyraminx: 1.93/3.14
Square-1: 7.06/11.07
Clock: 4.81/6.72
Magic: 0.68/0.74
MMagic: 1.68/1.75
4BLD: 3:16.44
5BLD: 9:03.22
MultiBLD: 30/30 58:28

 

[ThomasJE]

I can't see anyone breaking Faz's 5.66 single. It was a lucky scramble, but I reckon that there will be some sub 6's.

 

[AustinReed]

Half the people to even get a time under 1 sec got an scramble.

Indeed they did.

I don't think 3x3 single is going to change. 4x4 will be sub 30. 5x5 will be sub 55. 2x2 average is going down but not sub 2.

I can't see anyone breaking Faz's 5.66 single. It was a lucky scramble,

No it wasn't.

 

[Kirjava]

Scrambles can't be lucky. The solution was easy.