US Pick 'Em Series Season 3 (May 2nd - August 31st): Now with prizes! - Blake Thompson wins Season 2

Skullush

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Introduction from Season 2:
You may remember that I made Pick 'Ems (scored podium predictions) for the World Championships and US National Championships this year, as well as some other competitions. Since September, I've made Pick 'Ems (PEs) for every single US competition that has happened, and I totaled the points across all of them for each person. The person with the highest total points (Tommy Szeliga) was declared the winner of "Season 1". This whole thing has been kept off the fourms and on Facebook only, but this time around I wanted to also make a thread on the forum to update and to see if there's more interest.

Here is the Season 1 results sheet for reference.

Starting January 1st, "Season 2" will being. Just like last season, I'll be making PEs for every single US competition. The reason I only do US competitions for this is because it controls the amount there will be, and also psych sheets are always provided for US competitions, while they are not always provided elsewhere. This will be different from last season. Instead of taking the total points for all PEs, your best 50% (rounded up) will be totaled instead. Because of this, you theoretically need to do half of the PEs in order to maximize your points, rather than all of them like last season. Also, instead of totaling the pure score of each PE, the "weighted accuracies" will be totaled. Weighted accuracy (WA) is simply your score divided by the top score for that PE (so if you get the highest score out of everyone else who does it, your WA is 1.000, and if you get 30 points and the top score is 50 points, your WA is 0.600).

There are also some changes to the rules of the PEs themselves, which will be explained in the spoiler below.

To reiterate everything, explain the new rules, and also to inform anyone who is unfamiliar with these:

...

The first PEs will be in the next post, as well as updated in this thread. If you have any questions about anything here, feel free to ask.

Try your hand at dethroning Tommy Szeliga as the Pick 'Em Champion! Good luck!

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Results from previous seasons:
Season 1
Season 2
Season 2 (cont.)

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Rules:
Pick 'Em Rules:
  • Submit your predictions for 1st, 2nd, and 3rd place for each event.
  • Also, for each event, submit an Honorable Mention who you believe will get either 4th or 5th place.
  • If you think that a field will not have an applicable answer, you can put "DNF" instead and earn points for it (i.e. only two people get a success in 4BLD, so if you put "DNF" for 3rd place and Honorable Mention, you will earn points for that. However, if only two people compete in 4BLD, you will not gain or lose points for 3rd place or Honorable Mention).
  • Whoever ends up with the most points wins.
  • Also, predict the winning 3x3 average; this will act as a tiebreaker, as well as an opportunity to earn bonus points (if a competition has no 3x3, another event will be chosen for this).
  • Must be submitted by the day of the competition at the time that it starts.
  • If you submit more than once with the same name and passcode (like if you make a mistake or something) then I'll take your most recent submission, or a combination of those submissions, prioritizing your most recent one.

Pick 'Em Scoring:
  • If 1st place is correctly guessed for an event, you receive 5 points.
  • If 2nd place is correctly guessed for an event, you receive 3 points.
  • If 3rd place is correctly guessed for an event, you receive 2 points.
  • If a podium is correctly guessed, but in the wrong position, you receive 1 point.
  • If you guess the same competitor for two or more podium places in the same event, you lose 1 point for each of those guesses, and you do not earn any points that you would have received.
  • If the Honorable Mention gets 4th or 5th place, you receive 3 points.
  • If the Honorable Mention podiums, you lose 2 points. This rule does not apply to "DNF"s (see the next rule).
  • If you guess "DNF" for a field where there is a valid answer, you lose 1 point.
  • If your winning average guess is within 0.1 seconds of the winning average, you receive 2 points.
  • If your guess is within 0.01 seconds of the winning average, you receive 5 points.
  • If your guess is exactly correct, you receive 10 points.
  • The closeness of the winning average prediction will act as a tiebreaker for any responses that tie.
  • If both the total score and winning average prediction are tied, then points are added up from the beginning (3x3 1st Place, 3x3 2nd Place, etc), and whoever first has a higher score after any addition wins the tiebreaker.

Season 3 Rules:
  • There will be a Pick 'Em for every US competition.
  • The only required fields for all PEs are your name (doesn't have to be your real name if you prefer not to use it) and your passcode, which should both be consistent throughout all Season 3 PEs.
  • Each time you complete a PE, your weighted accuracy (WA) will be calculated, which is your score divided by the top score for that PE (i.e. if you get the highest score out of everyone else who does it, your WA is 1.000, and if you get 30 points and the top score is 50 points, your WA is 0.600).
  • Your best 50% WAs (rounded up) will be totaled, and that will be your deciding score for Season 3.
  • Because of this, you theoretically need to do half of the PEs in order to maximize your points, rather than all of them like last season.
  • Whoever has the highest total will be the winner of Season 3.
  • First place overall will receive $30 cash courtesy of Brandon Mikel. Second and third place will each receive $10 gift codes for thecubicle.us.

NEW! First place overall will receive $30 cash courtesy of Brandon Mikel. Second and third place will each receive $10 gift codes for thecubicle.us.

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Register for Season 3 here

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SEASON 3 RESULTS (OVERVIEW)
SEASON 3 RESULTS (MAY-JUNE)



Current Pick 'Ems:

Duke Summer 2016 | Psych Sheet
 
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I'll try to do them all, please keep posting them here. :)

I'm gonna beat you MUAHAHAHAHAH

I'm hyped about the OKCubing one because I will be able to legitimately put myself as honorable mention at 3x3 and 3rd at 2x2 :O

e: I just put myself as honorable mention for 2x2 at Music City. Watch me get a high 6 average.
 
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I put myself as Honorable Mention for Pyra (lol not gonna happen) and 3rd place in squan (still not gonna happen)
welllp

yeah you will lose both events because you are a nub

Your average will be 2/3 * DNF + 11.04 on Square 1

which means you will DNF 3 solves and get a counting time between 33.11 and 33.13 by the way xD

Actually you will probably not fail nvm
 
After BASC 8 is over, which will be tonight, I will post them.
For some reason a lot of you didn't do that one.

Awesome! I didn't honorable mention at Pyra, or podium in squan though. :( I got 5th in squan so that's honorable mention though, I don't think anyone chose me for that considering I didn't have an avg in it until now.
 
Here's the results sheet for Season 2.

Everything is on the spreadsheet. The first sheet is the overall results. Right now, only two of the three PEs count (your best two) because it takes the best 50% of your WAs. 50% of 3 rounds up to 2. Any PE you complete gives you a chance to improve your score. After next week, which has four USA competitions, your best 4 will count, since there will be 7 total.

If you want to see what everyone picked, each Pick 'Em has its own sheet which goes into more detail about how everyone got their scores.

I'll post the forms for next weekend's Pick 'Ems tomorrow.
 
Here's the results sheet for Season 2.

Everything is on the spreadsheet. The first sheet is the overall results. Right now, only two of the three PEs count (your best two) because it takes the best 50% of your WAs. 50% of 3 rounds up to 2. Any PE you complete gives you a chance to improve your score. After next week, which has four USA competitions, your best 4 will count, since there will be 7 total.

If you want to see what everyone picked, each Pick 'Em has its own sheet which goes into more detail about how everyone got their scores.

I'll post the forms for next weekend's Pick 'Ems tomorrow.

holy **** I'm winning
 
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Here's the PEs for this week:

Oregon State Alpha 2016 | Psych Sheet
Queen City 2016 | Psych Sheet
Red Cross Cubing Open 2016 | Psych Sheet
Rocky Mountain Winter 2016 | Psych Sheet

Keep in mind that I don't know when registration closes, if these competitions have hit their registration cap, etc. I'm just posting them now and will probably continue to post them on Mondays.

ugh I really need to step up my game, let's try this out
e: Just realized, the Queen City form link leads to the Oregon Alpha Psych Sheet, pls fix
e2: and neither of the Rocky Mountain Winter ones work, pls fix
 
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