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KCubing Spring 2016

Goals:

3x3: Sub 11 single / Sub 12 average / Sub 13 average in finals / 9th place
2x2: Sub 3.2 single / Sub 3.7 average / Sub 4 average in finals / 9th place
4x4: Sub 65 single / Sub 70 average / 12th place
5x5: Sub 120 single / Sub 140 average / 12th place
Sq1: Sub 45 single / Sub 55 average / 10th place

I'm doing clock but no goals because I literally can't even...
 
Sorry for the double post, this is a separate thought from the previous post, but I had an interesting idea for practicing for comps:

Pretend that you are doing the competition. This is how that will work:

Skip each event you aren't registered for.

Do 5 solves of 4x4. If you don't make 1:30 in either of the first two, then stop.
Do 5 solves of 3x3.
Do 5 solves of 2x2.
Do 3 solves of 4BLD (total of up to 50 minutes)
Do 5 solves of 3x3 IF you made it to round 2, and assuming 25 people, you need an 18.89 or better average.*
Do 3 solves of 3BLD (total of up to 15 minutes)
Do 5 solves of 2x2 IF you made it to round 2 (6.77 or better average)*
Do 5 solves of 5x5, soft cutoff 3 minutes
Do 5 solves of Square-1, soft cutoff 45 seconds
Do 5 solves of Clock, soft cutoff 45 seconds
Do 5 solves of 2x2 IF you made the finals (4.41 or better average)*
Do 5 solves of 3x3 IF you made the finals (13.84 or better average)*
*If your best average is better than said average, then your needed average moves one place down (to 26th or 13th) on the psych sheet. This is because you can't count twice.

My results:
4x4: 1:12.94, 1:56.63 (sic), 1:10.67, 1:15.65, 1:18.94 = 1:15.84 14th place
3x3 R1: 13.27, 15.91, 11.46, 13.56, 15.03 = 13.95 12th place
2x2 R1: 3.77, 3.95, 4.23, 3.66, 2.90 = 3.79 8th place
3x3 R2: 13.03, 14.49, 13.71, 14.10, 12.30 = 13.61 11th place
2x2 R2: 3.58, 3.81, 3.56, 3.68, 3.41 = 3.61 8th place
5x5: 2:36.81, 2:04.24, 2:09.40, 2:36.25, 2:14.26 = 2:19.97 13th place
Square-1: 49.52, 45.11
Clock: 57.27, 44.71, DNF, DNF, DNS = DNF
2x2 Final: 4.13, 5.97, 1.82, 4.06, 4.05 = 4.08 10th place
3x3 Final: 10.92, 12.57, 11.93, 13.90, 17.99 = 12.80 12th place

boy do I suck today
 
Goals
2x2: Sub 2.5 Average, beat my single at least 2 times
3x3: Sub 10 Average, Sub 8.5 Single
4x4: Sub 47 Average, Sub 42 Single
5x5: Sub 1:35 Average, Sub 1:30 Single
3BLD: Sub 5 Single
Square-1: Sub 18 Average, Sub 13.58 Single (gotta get them sr's amirite?), podium
 
Goals:

2x2: sub-4 average
3x3: sub-13 average
4x4: sub-50 average
5x5: sub-1:40 average
square-1: umm sub-20 average?
3BLD: win
4BLD: win, sub-3 single, get a mean
 
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First off, we're very close to hitting the cap, so if you are planning on coming but have not yet signed up/paid, you need to do that soon, or you may not make it.

Second, Goals!

2x2: sub 4 single, and sub 5 average.
3x3: sub 14 single? sub 16 average. Better be able to get average, and if I get a good scramble I should get the snigggggggle as well.
4x4: sub 1:10 single, sub 1:20 average. If I'm feeling good that day, 1:15 average.
5x5: Don't hit hard cut off. I better not.
bld: Success? Lol.
clock: Borrow someone's clock, and compete. Maybe do some more clock sim to "train" for it.

Comp: Make it run smooth and teach Cale some algs ('Cause common man)
 
Goals
2x2: second round sub 6 average
3x3: sub 20 average, second round?
4x4: sub 1:30 single
5x5: sub 4:00 singles
Clock: I don't give.

Cubes I'm selling
Calvin's 3x3x5 restickered w/ full brights- $35
Moyu AoSu (White) - $25
Buzzle ball- $5
 
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This will probably determine weather or not I go... Can I podium in 2x2 if I average in the 3's cause I do... reply if you can beat me. because I only want to go if I can win the amount I paid to come, or close to that. Wish you guys had pyra, then I'd definitely come, you should consider doing pyra next year... Cause I average like 4-4.5 on pyra.
 
gateway cuber said:
This will probably determine weather or not I go... Can I podium in 2x2 if I average in the 3's cause I do... reply if you can beat me. because I only want to go if I can win the amount I paid to come, or close to that. Wish you guys had pyra, then I'd definitely come, you should consider doing pyra next year... Cause I average like 4-4.5 on pyra.
Click to expand...

The podium last time was 2.65, 3.49 and 3.72. With Chris, we should have another sub 3 (unless Chris just dies) so you'd be right there. You should come anyway though. It's fun! On the subject of Pyra, it's just not an event I enjoy, and unless you make extremely stringent cut offs, it's going to take as long as 3x3 round 1 to run, and no thanks. It will be held in the future, but that's at the expense of some other longer event like Mega, 6x6, 7x7 or even a specialty event like multi or something.

The podium last time was 2.65, 3.49 and 3.72. With Chris, we should have another sub 3 (unless Chris just dies) so you'd be right there. You should come anyway though. It's fun! On the subject of Pyra, it's just not an event I enjoy, and unless you make extremely stringent cut offs, it's going to take as long as 3x3 round 1 to run, and no thanks. It will be held in the future, but that's at the expense of some other longer event like Mega, 6x6, 7x7 or even a specialty event like multi or something.

Rubiks560 said:
Goals: Destroy Woner. Make him quit cubing.

<3
Click to expand...

pls no! We need the Woner!
 
biscuit said:
The podium last time was 2.65, 3.49 and 3.72. With Chris, we should have another sub 3 (unless Chris just dies) so you'd be right there. You should come anyway though. It's fun! On the subject of Pyra, it's just not an event I enjoy, and unless you make extremely stringent cut offs, it's going to take as long as 3x3 round 1 to run, and no thanks. It will be held in the future, but that's at the expense of some other longer event like Mega, 6x6, 7x7 or even a specialty event like multi or something.

The podium last time was 2.65, 3.49 and 3.72. With Chris, we should have another sub 3 (unless Chris just dies) so you'd be right there. You should come anyway though. It's fun! On the subject of Pyra, it's just not an event I enjoy, and unless you make extremely stringent cut offs, it's going to take as long as 3x3 round 1 to run, and no thanks. It will be held in the future, but that's at the expense of some other longer event like Mega, 6x6, 7x7 or even a specialty event like multi or something.



pls no! We need the Woner!
Click to expand...


Wait, Chris Olson?!?!?!
 
biscuit said:
The podium last time was 2.65, 3.49 and 3.72. With Chris, we should have another sub 3 (unless Chris just dies) so you'd be right there. You should come anyway though. It's fun! On the subject of Pyra, it's just not an event I enjoy, and unless you make extremely stringent cut offs, it's going to take as long as 3x3 round 1 to run, and no thanks. It will be held in the future, but that's at the expense of some other longer event like Mega, 6x6, 7x7 or even a specialty event like multi or something.
Click to expand...

Kennan can easily sub 2.5 as well.
 
I created a system to predict peoples' results in competitions. Before you supernerds outnerd me with fangshi math, this is approximate and just for fun. Here's how it works:

1. Pick the person you want to predict... let's pick David Woner <3
2. Find their results from their previous 5 competitions, or all competitions if they haven't been to 5.
11.74, 12.43, 11.68, 12.20, 12.96
3. Weight (w) these (x) by how many weeks ago they were (t): w = x*0.9^t
11.74*0.9^23, 12.43*0.9^55, 11.68*0.9^76, 12.20*0.9^142, 12.96*0.9^193
4. Divide by sum of weights (weighted average)
(11.74*0.9^23 + 12.43*0.9^55 + 11.68*0.9^76 + 12.20*0.9^142 + 12.96*0.9^193) / (0.9^23 + 0.9^55 + 0.9^76 + 0.9^142 + 0.9^193)
5. Calclificate: (Wolfram Alpha is your friend)
= 11.76...
6. Use crazy improvement formula I made up: y = 6.54 + 1/((1/(x - 6.54)) + 0.001t)
= 11.20

The accuracy of this obviously depends on how much people practice, so if he doesn't get an 11.20 average that doesn't make him bad :P

e: I'm really thinking that the 0.001 value is a bit too high after I tried it for myself, but I haven't been practicing much. Heck, I'll get that fast average anyway [noparse]>:D[/noparse] (it is 11.04 btw, which is possible given that I have gotten 2 averages in comp close to that)

e2: And... nevermind! Feliks is fast, but not 0 seconds fast. I left the WR spot blank and it assumed it as a 0 xD
Now it comes out to 12.40. I feel like that is a good estimate, but it will likely be either bad (13.50) or good (11.50) and not mediocre like 12.40.

e3: Anyone want me to do a prediction on them?

e4: Really tho what is the WR for most edits?
 
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