Hypothesis: Your official average of 5 in event X is most likely to be your ao12 PB score at home

[abunickabhi]

Hi,

I noticed this when I was looking through all my PBs. I do all the WCA events, and for the events that have ao5 format, I noticed that my official average of 5 in event X is very close to my ao12 PB score at home, which is astonishing. Do more cubers relate to this correlation. I think this would be tough to prove but would hold true for most cubers.

 

[DynaXT]

PB ao12: 14.64
PR ao5: 16.77

 

[jfitch]

x1 = PB Ao12
x2 = PR Ao5
Relative Percent Difference (RPD)= 100*abs(x1-x2)/((x1+x2)/2)
In words, the magnitude of the difference, divided by the average. I hypothesize newer cubers or cubers who haven't been to many competitions will have higher RPDs than veterans. Newer cubers will have higher time variations overall, and will be affected by environmental factors more (lights, noise, onlookers).

 

[Luke Solves Cubes]

PR ao5: 14.48
PB ao12: 14.34

WOW

 

[DynaXT]

Update: I now have a 14.15 ao12. My PR single is 14.11.

 

[abunickabhi]

Update: I now have a 14.15 ao12. My PR single is 14.11.

You badly need to attend a comp and get a good avg+single.

 

[DynaXT]

Don’t worry, I have two coming up (one I’m not actually signed up for yet, just gotta hope I make it in)

 

[IsThatA4x4]

Only been to one comp (and I have improved since then)
PR ao5 = 11.85
PB ao12 = 11.00
Still close enough

 

[Swagrid]

PR ao5 - 12.26
PB ao12 - 9.59

 

[cuberswoop]

PR ao5: 14.26
PB ao12: 13.37

And I just attended my first comp last month.

 

[Mike Hughey]

PB ao12: 13.37

LEET!

 

[turtwig]

I don't think this is true for me. By PB ao12 for 3x3 is 7.88 and my best ao5 in comp is 9.70. I've not been to a competition in a long time (and improved almost 1 second in the meantime) but even on a good day my global average is high-8s so I would have to get quite lucky to get a comparable average in comp (and all my times at home are on keyboard so stackmat would slow me down a bit).

I might be an exception, though. Looking through the UWR page, there is some what of a pattern:
3x3: 4.83 vs 5.08
4x4: 19.40 vs 19.88
5x5: 36.74 vs 38.45
6x6: 1:11.34 vs 1:15.63 (mo3)
7x7: 1:50.99 vs 1:46.57 (mo3)
Sq-1: 5.37 vs 6.06
These are the events where the UWR holder (ao12) is the same as the official WR holder.

 

[teboecubes]

Official Ao5 PB: 11.99
Unofficial Ao12 PB: 10.36

 

[Mike Hughey]

LEET!

Spoiler

For anyone who wondered:

Leet - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org

A number of years ago there was a rash of silly posts on here that correlated being a "leet" cuber with having 13.37 solve times. As usual, I'm still silly.

 

[NigelTheCuber]

pb ao12= 16.61
Pb ao5 in speedsolving comp( i dont go to comps) = 17.81

 

[GenTheSnail]

I only bothered to check the 4 events that I actively practice:

3x3:
wca ao5: 10.31
ss wc ao5: 8.64
unofficial pb ao12: 8.88

OH:
wca ao5: 16.19
ss wc ao5: 11.83
unofficial pb ao12: 12.07

Feet:
wca ao5: 39.09
ss wc ao5: 37.72
unofficial ao12: 39.82

Mega:
wca ao5: 52.18
ss wc ao5: 50.43
unofficial ao12: 54.08


I've been to 18 WCA comps but I've competed in 178 speedsolving weekly competitions, which shows why I'm a fair bit faster there. I've improved a lot over the pandemic and haven't had a chance to update my WCA results to my current speed. I think If I competed in a dozen more comps, I could get lucky and get results close enough to my current PB ao12, but even then, I'd need to get pretty lucky.
Most of the events make sense - although I'm not sure what's happened with Megaminx. I know both my wca and ss wc averages were super lucky when they happened. I think since the puzzle is also so much bigger it reduces chances for super lucky skips like ones that can happen on 3x3.

 

[NigelTheCuber]

pb ao12= 16.61
Pb ao5 in speedsolving comp( i dont go to comps) = 17.81

I am going to comp but no 3x3

 

[NigelTheCuber]

Somehow my 2x2 ao5 pb is 2.78 and ao12 is 3.12, will I really get a 3.12 average at my next comp?????