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I realise this reply is quite late, but anyway...
I did three solves...
First solve 51 moves; second 53 STM; third 49.
So my assumptions were wrong... But not too far out.
So my tps estimate was about right.

On a side note, my last sentence was meant to be lighthearted. I wasn't actually angry or irritated.

Just got a ZhanChi so I'll practice some more for TPS

U Perm = R2 U R U R' U' R' U' R' U R' = 1.06 = 10.38 TPS
Double Sune : R U2 R' U' R U R' U' R U' R' = 0.96 seconds = 11.45 TPS
Sexy x 6 = 1.94 = 12.37 TPS
M' = R' L (2 turns) = 0.04 = 50 TPS <----------- I WIN

Just got a ZhanChi so I'll practice some more for TPS

U Perm = R2 U R U R' U' R' U' R' U R' = 1.06 = 10.38 TPS
Double Sune : R U2 R' U' R U R' U' R U' R' = 0.96 seconds = 11.45 TPS
Sexy x 6 = 1.94 = 12.37 TPS
M' = R' L (2 turns) = 0.04 = 50 TPS <----------- I WIN

Just got a ZhanChi so I'll practice some more for TPS

U Perm = R2 U R U R' U' R' U' R' U R' = 1.06 = 10.38 TPS
Double Sune : R U2 R' U' R U R' U' R U' R' = 0.96 seconds = 11.45 TPS
Sexy x 6 = 1.94 = 12.37 TPS
M' = R' L (2 turns) = 0.04 = 50 TPS <----------- I WIN