JustinTimeCuber
Legend
Consistency is 3kool5u
4x4 or 5x5? And how do you know the cutoff?
Dixon Fall 2016 (Competition)
- Thread starter gateway cuber
- Start date
gateway cuber
Veteran
It's mega Justin.
JustinTimeCuber
Legend
I hate myself.
GenTheSnail
Veteran
hahaha
that would be funny if it was 4x4 and cool if that was 5x5. I average 1:10 and 2:30 respectively, but idc about big cube them so probably higher.
that would be funny if it was 4x4 and cool if that was 5x5. I average 1:10 and 2:30 respectively, but idc about big cube them so probably higher.
gateway cuber
Veteran
Ok, I'm pretty much ready for all events but 3x3. I'm still having trouble staying sub-13 ):, but for all other events.
2x2 currently getting high 2 Ao12s I don't think top 5 is unrealistic and podium is possible.
4x4 almost sub 1:10 consistently, I don't plan to excel or anything lol
squan I can solve it, I'm sub 45 now so hopefully I can be sub 40 by then... (no parity plz)
but as for 3x3, sigh, I'm not doing well, I hope to at least get sub 13, but my original goal was sub 12 maybe even sub 11...
So how's practice goin' for you guys?
2x2 currently getting high 2 Ao12s I don't think top 5 is unrealistic and podium is possible.
4x4 almost sub 1:10 consistently, I don't plan to excel or anything lol
squan I can solve it, I'm sub 45 now so hopefully I can be sub 40 by then... (no parity plz)
but as for 3x3, sigh, I'm not doing well, I hope to at least get sub 13, but my original goal was sub 12 maybe even sub 11...
So how's practice goin' for you guys?
JustinTimeCuber
Legend
Ok from worst to best event:
3BLD: Only had 1 success ever so why am I competing
6x6: It's in the afternoon, so they might be ahead of schedule by then, and if so please raise the cutoff- I have around a 70% chance of getting a sub-4.
Sq1: Sub 40 would be nice.
5x5: Sub 2 single, and sub-2 average depending on the cutoff
Megaminx: Maybe I can get sub2 before the comp...
4x4: Sub 1 single and sub 1:05 average would be good
2x2: Been doing lots of solves lately, I'm averaging around 3.3. A sub-3 average and comp PB single is good
3x3: Super inconsistent now but I get times around 11.5, so I want a sub-11 average and sub-10 single pls
GenTheSnail
Veteran
I've basically only been doing mega this week. I have a sub-2 ao100, but 40/60 of those were sup-2. its really fun and i've been getting not-super-nub times so hoping to get an average. ZZ-Spike is boss
3x3 just hoping for a 17 average, if I feel good maybe a 15 cause its not that hard
2x2 finish U and L CLL sets and then just a sub-5, maybe 4.5. I just cant do very well in comp
OH plz sub23 average its not that hard I have an ao100 faster than my official time. sub-19 single would be cool, but plain sub-20 would also be nice.
I need to make 2nd round in these three events, mega I might not get an average in.
everything else is a lolz to me
6x6 maybe sub 5
BLD I'll cram practice in during the car ride and have never had a success. hoping for sub10. it be fun though, so maybe i'll practice more
Sq1 I forgot how to do parity ohwel
4x4 no more practice i think i went back to 1:30
5x5 is kinda fun so maybe sub2:30 if I practice
I only care about 5 events, and 4 of them are being done. I wish they had Feet so I could get a sub1.
3x3 just hoping for a 17 average, if I feel good maybe a 15 cause its not that hard
2x2 finish U and L CLL sets and then just a sub-5, maybe 4.5. I just cant do very well in comp
OH plz sub23 average its not that hard I have an ao100 faster than my official time. sub-19 single would be cool, but plain sub-20 would also be nice.
I need to make 2nd round in these three events, mega I might not get an average in.
everything else is a lolz to me
6x6 maybe sub 5
BLD I'll cram practice in during the car ride and have never had a success. hoping for sub10. it be fun though, so maybe i'll practice more
Sq1 I forgot how to do parity ohwel
4x4 no more practice i think i went back to 1:30
5x5 is kinda fun so maybe sub2:30 if I practice
I only care about 5 events, and 4 of them are being done. I wish they had Feet so I could get a sub1.
JustinTimeCuber
Legend
Just got a 1:58.97 Megaminx PB. This is a thing now.
Sent from my MotoE2(4G-LTE) using Tapatalk
Oh and so is 2x2- Just got a 2.97 ao12. My predicorator 5000 gives me a 57.7% chance of getting a sub 3 average each round, or a 92.4% chance overall assuming I make finals.
Methodology:
Do an ao50/100.
Pick 5 random times.
Average them WCA style.
Compare to base time (3.00).
Repeat 2-4 20 million times.
Get chance!
If anyone wants me to do this for their times, post an average and the time to which they should be compared. I'm thinking about making a head-to-head model (hint hint Carter)
E: 2.96 after fixing CSTimer's wrongness
Sent from my MotoE2(4G-LTE) using Tapatalk
Oh and so is 2x2- Just got a 2.97 ao12. My predicorator 5000 gives me a 57.7% chance of getting a sub 3 average each round, or a 92.4% chance overall assuming I make finals.
Methodology:
Do an ao50/100.
Pick 5 random times.
Average them WCA style.
Compare to base time (3.00).
Repeat 2-4 20 million times.
Get chance!
If anyone wants me to do this for their times, post an average and the time to which they should be compared. I'm thinking about making a head-to-head model (hint hint Carter)
E: 2.96 after fixing CSTimer's wrongness
Last edited by a moderator:
GenTheSnail
Veteran
Sure @JustinTimeCuber . This was my last ao100 on mega. 60/40 sub2/sup2. Compare this to 2:00.00
Average: 1:57.52 (σ = 7.21)
Mean: 1:57.33
Average: 1:57.52 (σ = 7.21)
Mean: 1:57.33
2:07.08, 1:59.68, 2:15.49, 1:42.23, 1:52.51, 2:04.57, 2:03.24, 1:48.86, 2:00.82, 1:47.29, 1:51.78, 2:15.85, 1:47.99, 1:57.08, 1:58.23, 1:59.84, 1:58.22, 2:11.62, 2:00.76, 2:07.56, 2:01.00, 1:49.98, 1:47.50, 1:39.48, 1:54.68, 1:49.83, 2:12.14, 2:04.38, 1:55.13, 2:03.70, 2:03.10, 2:01.88, 1:47.12, 2:10.02, 1:54.23, 1:58.31, 2:01.59, 2:06.82, 2:06.03, 2:09.22, 2:04.74, 1:54.06, 1:35.74, 2:09.40, 2:04.97, 1:54.89, 2:06.34, 1:54.28, 2:04.54, 2:06.45, 1:49.09, 1:58.83, 1:54.68, 1:49.57, 1:54.76, 2:04.42, 1:58.80, 2:09.58, 1:43.62, 1:50.12, 1:36.45, 1:56.25, 1:59.10, 1:56.54, 1:51.90, 1:59.32, 1:44.36, 1:49.34, 1:49.98, 1:46.84, 2:02.10, 1:53.10, 2:12.56, 1:59.27, 2:06.48, 2:06.85, 1:39.25, 1:37.80, 1:47.51, 1:50.68, 1:42.88, 1:48.42, 1:58.25, 2:03.03, 2:01.82, 2:09.23, 2:03.51, 1:58.85, 1:53.89, 1:55.01, 2:05.99, 1:55.87, 1:56.42, 1:51.77, 2:03.35, 2:01.27, 2:05.32, 1:49.59, 1:48.87, 1:58.29
JustinTimeCuber
Legend
Chance of making cutoff: 84%
Chance of sub-2 average, if there were no cutoff: 69.4%
Overall chance of sub-2 average: 64.7%
Chance of sub-2 average, if there were no cutoff: 69.4%
Overall chance of sub-2 average: 64.7%
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GenTheSnail
Veteran
DNF 9:23.67 PB BLD single off by a 1 edge 3cycle.
This is a thing now.
This is a thing now.
gateway cuber
Veteran
here justin
Generated By csTimer on 2016-9-26
avg of 12: 2.868
Time List:
1. 2.384 R2 U2 F' U' F' U2 R F R'
2. 3.338 F2 U2 F R' U2 F U2 R2 U2
3. 3.736 U F' R2 U' F' R2 F R2 U
4. 2.952 R2 F2 U F' R' F' U2 R2 F2
5. 2.498 R U F U2 R' F' R' F U
6. (1.648) R U' R2 F2 U F R' F R2 U'
7. 3.552 F' R' U2 F' U' F2 U2 F' R2
8. (4.312) U2 F' R2 U F' U2 F2 U' R'
9. 3.208 F2 U F2 U' F2 R' U2 R U
10. 2.912 U F' U2 F2 U2 F' U' R2 U'
11. 1.832 R2 U2 F U' F2 U' F2 U' F'
12. 2.264 U F2 U F' R' U F' R2 U'
2x2 of course...
Edit: oops, just realized you wanted Ao50...
here's an Ao50 from the other day
avg of 50: 2.981
Generated By csTimer on 2016-9-26
avg of 12: 2.868
Time List:
1. 2.384 R2 U2 F' U' F' U2 R F R'
2. 3.338 F2 U2 F R' U2 F U2 R2 U2
3. 3.736 U F' R2 U' F' R2 F R2 U
4. 2.952 R2 F2 U F' R' F' U2 R2 F2
5. 2.498 R U F U2 R' F' R' F U
6. (1.648) R U' R2 F2 U F R' F R2 U'
7. 3.552 F' R' U2 F' U' F2 U2 F' R2
8. (4.312) U2 F' R2 U F' U2 F2 U' R'
9. 3.208 F2 U F2 U' F2 R' U2 R U
10. 2.912 U F' U2 F2 U2 F' U' R2 U'
11. 1.832 R2 U2 F U' F2 U' F2 U' F'
12. 2.264 U F2 U F' R' U F' R2 U'
2x2 of course...
Edit: oops, just realized you wanted Ao50...
here's an Ao50 from the other day
avg of 50: 2.981
Time List:
1. 2.960 R' U R' F2 U2 F' U R2 U'
2. 2.711 F2 R' U F2 U' F R U2 F'
3. 2.759 U2 F R' F2 U' F2 U' R' U2
4. 3.482 F2 U R' U2 F R' U2 R U2
5. 3.433 R' U F' U' R2 F U2 F' U2
6. (1.769) U F' U' F R' U F U2 F2
7. 2.272 R2 F2 U' R' F' R2 U R U'
8. 2.274 R' U' R' U F2 U R2 U2 F
9. 2.673 U' F' R F' U2 F' R2 F2 U2
10. 2.752 R' F R' U2 R F' R U' F2
11. 2.841 R2 U2 F2 R' U' R U2 F' U'
12. 2.985 F U2 F U2 R F' U' F2 U2
13. 2.655 U' R U' R U R' U F U2
14. 3.561 R2 F2 R' U R2 U' F R' U'
15. 3.009 U2 F' U2 R' U2 F2 U R2 U'
16. 3.791 U F2 U' R F2 R' U' R' U'
17. 3.008 F2 U' R2 F' U F' R2 F' U2
18. 2.274 R' U' F2 R F' R F' U' F U
19. (1.825) R2 U2 F2 R U' F U2 R2 F'
20. 2.713 U2 R2 U' F R U R2 F' U'
21. 3.257 U2 F' R' F R' U2 R' F R2 U'
22. 2.298 R' F2 R F R' F2 U F' R' U'
23. 2.849 F' R2 F2 R' U' F2 R F U
24. 2.961 R U' R U2 R U2 R' F U
25. 2.757 R U F2 R2 U2 F' U' R U
26. 3.254 F' U' R F' R2 F' R' F2 R2 U
27. 2.967 F R2 U R2 U F' U F U2
28. 2.751 F2 U2 F U2 R2 U' R' F U'
29. 2.949 R F R2 F' R U2 R U2 R2
30. 3.279 R2 U F' U R U2 F' R U'
31. 2.793 R' F2 R F R2 U' R' F2 U'
32. 3.138 F' U2 R U2 R' F U' F2 R
33. 2.996 F' U' R2 F R' U F2 U F'
34. 3.401 U R F' R F' R' F2 R' U2
35. 3.410 U R F' R F' R2 F R' U
36. 2.689 U R' U R U' R2 F R F U'
37. 2.355 U' F R' U F R2 F2 U2 F'
38. (1.576) R' U2 R U2 F' R2 F R' U2
39. 2.848 F R U R' F U2 F' R F
40. 2.977 F2 R' U F2 U F2 U' R U'
41. 3.649 R' U2 F2 R U F2 R2 U R2
42. (4.369) F' R' F U' F' R2 U F' U'
43. 2.071 R' U F2 U' F R2 U2 R2 U2
44. 2.865 F' U2 R' U F' U2 F R F'
45. 3.848 F' U2 R F2 R' U R' F' U'
46. 3.994 F2 R U' F2 U F' R2 F2 U2
47. (4.123) F2 R' F' R2 U2 F' U' R2 F2
48. 3.970 F' U F' R' F2 R F2 U2 R'
49. (4.593) R2 U F U' R F' R2 F U2
50. 2.665 F2 R' U' F2 R F U2 F' R2 U2
1. 2.960 R' U R' F2 U2 F' U R2 U'
2. 2.711 F2 R' U F2 U' F R U2 F'
3. 2.759 U2 F R' F2 U' F2 U' R' U2
4. 3.482 F2 U R' U2 F R' U2 R U2
5. 3.433 R' U F' U' R2 F U2 F' U2
6. (1.769) U F' U' F R' U F U2 F2
7. 2.272 R2 F2 U' R' F' R2 U R U'
8. 2.274 R' U' R' U F2 U R2 U2 F
9. 2.673 U' F' R F' U2 F' R2 F2 U2
10. 2.752 R' F R' U2 R F' R U' F2
11. 2.841 R2 U2 F2 R' U' R U2 F' U'
12. 2.985 F U2 F U2 R F' U' F2 U2
13. 2.655 U' R U' R U R' U F U2
14. 3.561 R2 F2 R' U R2 U' F R' U'
15. 3.009 U2 F' U2 R' U2 F2 U R2 U'
16. 3.791 U F2 U' R F2 R' U' R' U'
17. 3.008 F2 U' R2 F' U F' R2 F' U2
18. 2.274 R' U' F2 R F' R F' U' F U
19. (1.825) R2 U2 F2 R U' F U2 R2 F'
20. 2.713 U2 R2 U' F R U R2 F' U'
21. 3.257 U2 F' R' F R' U2 R' F R2 U'
22. 2.298 R' F2 R F R' F2 U F' R' U'
23. 2.849 F' R2 F2 R' U' F2 R F U
24. 2.961 R U' R U2 R U2 R' F U
25. 2.757 R U F2 R2 U2 F' U' R U
26. 3.254 F' U' R F' R2 F' R' F2 R2 U
27. 2.967 F R2 U R2 U F' U F U2
28. 2.751 F2 U2 F U2 R2 U' R' F U'
29. 2.949 R F R2 F' R U2 R U2 R2
30. 3.279 R2 U F' U R U2 F' R U'
31. 2.793 R' F2 R F R2 U' R' F2 U'
32. 3.138 F' U2 R U2 R' F U' F2 R
33. 2.996 F' U' R2 F R' U F2 U F'
34. 3.401 U R F' R F' R' F2 R' U2
35. 3.410 U R F' R F' R2 F R' U
36. 2.689 U R' U R U' R2 F R F U'
37. 2.355 U' F R' U F R2 F2 U2 F'
38. (1.576) R' U2 R U2 F' R2 F R' U2
39. 2.848 F R U R' F U2 F' R F
40. 2.977 F2 R' U F2 U F2 U' R U'
41. 3.649 R' U2 F2 R U F2 R2 U R2
42. (4.369) F' R' F U' F' R2 U F' U'
43. 2.071 R' U F2 U' F R2 U2 R2 U2
44. 2.865 F' U2 R' U F' U2 F R F'
45. 3.848 F' U2 R F2 R' U R' F' U'
46. 3.994 F2 R U' F2 U F' R2 F2 U2
47. (4.123) F2 R' F' R2 U2 F' U' R2 F2
48. 3.970 F' U F' R' F2 R F2 U2 R'
49. (4.593) R2 U F U' R F' R2 F U2
50. 2.665 F2 R' U' F2 R F U2 F' R2 U2
Last edited by a moderator:
JustinTimeCuber
Legend
You win in 56% of trials, I win in 44%.
gateway cuber
Veteran
sad but happy too, I have like a 70% chance now...
JustinTimeCuber
Legend
Brian Johnson has probably around a 70% chance of beating me
You have around a 60% chance of beating me
Blake Thompson has around a 30% chance of beating me
I haven't actually done an analysis, I'm just making up numbers, but given those numbers I have an 87.4% chance of podiuming (lol) and an 8.4% chance of winning wtf
kcl
Legend
Hey guys, I just took an imaginary survey! 69% of the said nobody cares who podiums, 4.20% said that the useage of flawed statistics gave them cancer, and 26.8% asked why any of it it even matters when none of the fastest people are attending!
JustinTimeCuber
Legend
best post of 2016
I'm interested in further research into how flawed statistics can cause cancer.
Blake4512
Veteran
JustinTimeCuber
Legend
Last edited:
kcl
Legend
Sub 3 != good
*Brian* is pretty much 100% faster than you. Just quit it with the precomp anticipation. Go to comps to have fun, stop worrying about if you're going to podium.
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