4x4 PLL Skips

[Rubiksfreak]

So obviously 4x4 PLL skips are considered rare. But considering how often I solve 4x4, I get a considerably amount of PLL skips. Im not sure if this is because of my scrambles or which OLL I choose depending on how im holding the cube or what.
Just curious on how often other people get 4x4 PLL skips. I typically get them at least 3 times a week. Keeping in mind I pick up my 4x4 probably 3 times within a week, id say thats alot.

 

[tseitsei]

Probability for 3x3 PLL skip is 1/72 so I would assume that probability for 4x4 PLL skip is (1/2)*(1/72)=1/144=0.7% because 1/2 of the solves have PLL-parity. So that means that on average you get one PLL skip for every 144 solves you do.

 

[Clarkeeyyy]

What would be the chance of a last layer skip? I got my first ever two days ago on 4x4.

 

[TDM]

What would be the chance of a last layer skip? I got my first ever two days ago on 4x4.

Chance of OLL parity = 1/2
Chance of PLL parity = 1/2
Chance of LL skip on 3x3 = 1/15552
Chance of LL skip on 4x4 = 1/(2*2*15552)=1/62208

 

[Jaysammey777]

once out of 4 and 1/2 years now(I think).

 

[Lucas Garron]

Probability for 3x3 PLL skip is 1/72 so I would assume that probability for 4x4 PLL skip is (1/2)*(1/72)=1/144=0.7% because 1/2 of the solves have PLL-parity. So that means that on average you get one PLL skip for every 144 solves you do.

If you consider "pure PLL parity after OLL" to be a PLL skip, the probability goes up, though.

 

[Ollie]

I've had two almost LL skips on 4x4x4, both with only OLL parity to solve after F2L o_O

 

[Kirjava]

I've had two almost LL skips on 4x4x4, both with only OLL parity to solve after F2L o_O

That sentence seems so weird to me.