So, I started two weeks before Texas 2 days (~6/9, so, it makes roughly 5/25 as my start date), one week into the practice, first success was 5min. Since I've got the first sub2 late August, it took about 3 months from the start to sub 2. (Posting in the facebook makes it easy to keep track of when something happened

But as we all know, it's not just time but more about practice. I didn't do any other events last 3 months except 3BLD & MBLD. These are much intense in terms of practice compared to 3x3.
When I started, of course, my goal was just getting an official success - now I know low/middle one minute is achievable. I didn't set any specific goals in terms of time for 3BLD but I do want to switch to 3-style and learn commutators at some points. I haven't started yet but just by reading, I realized how less I know about cubing & algorithms. I just memorized bunch of algorithms without understanding much so far.
Regarding sub-20 equivalent, I feel like sub 1 mark would be similar to that land mark (sub 20 in 3x3). I'll check official results & time : 3x3 vs 3BLD which can give us more statistical answer.