Timeline for 1-look CFOP to overtake 3-style as the mainstream 3BLD method

[abunickabhi]

3-style has proved to be a very successful method and a perfect improvement to the ancient methods of freestyle and BH (Beyer Hardwick). With the advent of fast solvers like Yiheng and Xuanyi who can one look F2L with ease within 15 seconds, it is a matter of time before 3-style gets overtaken by 1-look CFOP as the mainstream method for blindsolving.

The pros and cons of 1-look CFOP eventually becoming mainstream (according to me) are:

Pros:

• Execution movecount would be 40-60 moves instead of ~80-120 moves in current 3-style exec.
• Higher TPS turning would be possible due to RUF face turning compared to MES slice exec and RUD corner exec.
• The number of algs to know would be far lesser, as just ZBLS and ZBLL would suffice, contrary to FFUF3, LTCT and parity algs for 3-style solving.
• Single solving method for both events (3x3 and 3BLD), making more cubers get started with blindsolving without any extra knowledge.
  

Cons:

• Accuracy will drop as mistakes in predicting LL might happen.
• Learning curve would be huge as tracing ability would not develop for every cuber interested in blindsolving.
• Memo time would increase from current ~5-6 seconds to ~10-15 seconds.
• For harder scrambles, 1-look CFOP would be harder.
• Tougher to do MBLD with 1-look CFOP as there are just mental notes for solutions and no mnemonic information coded for each scramble.
• 4BLD exec would still use 3-style and 2BLD and 3BLD would become a standalone events where 1-looking sighted methods are used.
• Would make 3BLD event redundant and eventually dropped off from the WCA list (similar to how 2BLD feels like a useless/redundant event now)
  
  
  There are a few more pointers that I want to deliberate over before adding here, I will edit the post in the future and add them.
  The timeline I predict when 1-look CFOP becomes mainstream is late 2020s, maybe 2028. 3-style method would still be used by current batch of BLDers, and people who are uncomfortable with predicting/tracing entire CFOP solutions.