Rpotts
Member
This went in the accomplishement thread but it probably belongs here:
16.05, 15.26, (10.13)[PLL skip], 17.92, 16.16[OLL skip], (19.19), 16.91, 17.80, 18.33, 14.93[PLL skip], 11.70[LL skip], 14.69[PLL skip]
scrambles were:
1. 16.05 D' L' U R2 B2 R F D' F2 R U2 D F' L2 U' R B2 D R' F' R' F D2 U' L2
2. 15.26 U2 L2 R2 F R U2 F2 B' D2 U2 B' U B U F' L' U B' R2 D2 F' R' B' F L'
3. (10.13)[PLL skip] F2 U2 D L2 R2 B R B R B U' R B' F' R U' L' D B F' D2 U R2 F2 U'
4. 17.92 F L F2 B U' B D2 L F' R' L2 D' R2 D' B' F L D F' U2 R2 L U R2 D'
5. 16.16[OLL skip] R F B' D' R D2 L' B' F L U' L2 D' R' L2 F' R D' L D U' B' L B D
6. (19.19) B L B2 R F' B2 U' L U R2 F' L2 F R2 D' B U' D2 B L2 F2 D2 B' L2 R
7. 16.91 F B D' L2 B' F' U2 R2 D F2 U2 D' R2 F R2 L B U' F2 R2 D2 R F' L' U
8. 17.80 R L F' U B2 L D L2 F' D2 U' L' U' F' U' L2 D B R' D F' L' U2 D' R'
9. 18.33 L2 F' U2 L U' R U2 B2 U' B' L' F U' R2 B' R' U' B' R' L B F R D' R2
10. 14.93[PLL skip] B' L2 D' U' R L' B L U F R2 F2 L' F' U' F R2 U' D2 L' R' B2 R F' B'
11. 11.70[LL skip] U2 L2 U2 D2 L R2 B2 L' D2 U R2 U' D' L D2 U2 L B2 U L R F2 U2 F' B'
12. 14.69[PLL skip] U' F' D2 B2 F' R' L2 D2 F R B2 L F' B2 U' D L B' U2 L F B D U' L2
Can someone please calculate this? I tried, but I'm probably wrong.
Calculate what? The probability of getting full step, full step, PLL skip, full step, OLL skip, full step, full step, full step, full step, PLL skip, LL skip, PLL skip, in that order?
so full step probability is (215/216)x(71/72) = 15265/15552 ≈ 98.1545%
PLL skip probability is (215/216)x(1/72) = 215/15552 ≈ 1.3824%
OLL skip probability is (1/216)x(71/72) = 71/15552 ≈ .4565%
LL skip probability is (1/216)x(1/72) = 1/15552 ≈ .00643%
btw it all adds up to 15552/15552 so i think my calcs are correct
(15265/15552)x(15265/15552)x(215/15552)x(15265/15552)x(71/15552)x(15265/15552)x(15265/15552)x(15265/15552)x(15265/15552)x(215/15552)x(1/15552)x(215/15552)
6.808388 x 10^-13
.0000000000006808388