AJ Blair
Member
Moral of the story:
Whenever you're planning to cheat on a competition, don't let anybody take video.
Moral of the story:
How about we not cheat at all?
Moral of the story:
Whenever you're planning to cheat on a competition, don't let anybody take video.
Moral of the story:
How about we not cheat at all?
How about: don't cheat?Moral of the story:
Whenever you're planning to cheat on a competition, don't let anybody take video.
http://www.cuberos.cl/foro/viewtopic.php?f=19&t=2085
(...)
Adentrándome en el veredicto, no me declaré culpable, no reconocí lo irreconocible, no dije que había hecho trampa, porque nunca la he hecho. Deben tener muy malos planes de comprensión lectora en Suecia, porque lo que acepté fue que hubo irregularidades en los scrambles del WR average, porque nadie debió haber participado con esos scrambles, pero yo no los manipulé.
(...)
Después de ser notificado en reiteradas oportunidades de apocalípticas sanciones que podrían caer sobre la comunidad chilena, se me ofreció asumir un castigo para despejar las dudas sobre el país entero. Literalmente lo que se me planteó fue si prefería hacerle las cosas fáciles al país o si quería hacerme las cosas fáciles para mí.
He also says that the WCA board told him that if he did not accept his suspension, then all the Chilean community would be punish.
Stefan, I think your reply was very rude and patronizing. I don’t know that it happens infrequently, no one can really say for sure. I was attempting to voice my opinion and I got slapped down in doing so. Thank you very much.
Yeah, and we know how good Stefan is at shooting to different targets.
I highly, highly doubt this.
Sebastian said:Se me ofreció asumir un castigo para despejar las dudas sobre el país entero. Literalmente lo que se me planteó fue si prefería hacerle las cosas fáciles al país o si quería hacerme las cosas fáciles para mí.
translation said:They offered me to accept a penalty in order to remove the doubts about the whole country. Literally they asked me if I preferred to make things easier for the country or to make things easier for me.
That's not a moral...:fp
I'm saying we should have a way to know someone's cheating even without any video.
Congratulations David Sajim Woner and Yu.
Don't worry, there was other evidenceI'm not satisfied with just the "improbability" of getting such scrambles being the only evidence, although it hopefully isn't.
Rare events happen all the time, and as you may have heard: statistics can fool juries
I'm not satisfied with just the "improbability" of getting such scrambles being the only evidence, although it hopefully isn't.
I have calculated the probability of getting that 5 skips (if we suppose that the scramble generator is a random one) and the result that I have obtained is:
1/1.981.355.655.168
Yeah, I was going to complain, but my browser crashed. I'm getting only about one in [3 million].Can you show us the calculation as well, please?
(As some wise guy once said, it's extremely unlikely that Feliks's WR solve would have had exactly the scramble and solve it did – but it did.)
I'm getting only about one in two billion. And more like one in two million if you allow diametrically opposite clocks on the same side to match the center (more peg-switching, but still less turning).
Easy side: 2.551119% (1 in 39.20)
Easy clock: 5.037156% (1 in 19.85)
Five easy clocks: 0.000032% (1 in 3083707.48)
for $a (0..11) {
for $b (0..11) {
for $c (0..11) {
for $d (0..11) {
$easy++ if !$a&&!$b
|| !$b&&!$c
|| !$c&&!$d
|| !$d&&!$a;
$all++;
}
}
}
}
$easySide = $easy/$all;
$easyClock = 1 - (1-$easySide)**2;
printf "Easy side: %10.6f%% (1 in %.2f)\n", 100 * $easySide, 1 / $easySide;
printf "Easy clock: %10.6f%% (1 in %.2f)\n", 100 * $easyClock, 1 / $easyClock;
printf "Five easy clocks: %10.6f%% (1 in %.2f)\n", 100 * ($easyClock**5), 1 / ($easyClock**5);
Ah, oops. I made a typo right before adjusting the calculation, and skipped a sanity check for that one because I didn't treat it as important enough for the post. Embarrassing, because that's exactly what I'm telling people to be more careful about.For what exactly?
If I define an "easy side" as one that has adjacent edges showing the same time as the center and an "easy clock" as one having an easy side:
Code:Easy side: 2.551119% (1 in 39.20) Easy clock: 5.037156% (1 in 19.85) Five easy clocks: 0.000032% (1 in 3083707.48)
Count[Tuples[Table[Range[12],{4}]],Alternatives@@(RotateRight[{12,12,_,_},#]&/@Range[4])]/12^4
529/20736